Shandong Publishing&Media Co (601019) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 14.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 66% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.70 – ¥13.70 · fair‑value band ¥9.28 – ¥13.79 · the ¥6.98 price screens below the ¥11.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Publishing&Media Co (601019) currently trades at ¥6.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.60, implying the stock looks roughly 66.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Publishing&Media Co generated revenue of 11.2B CNY at a net margin of 10.5%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.28 (bear case) to ¥13.79 (bull case); at ¥6.98, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 66%, 601019 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥12.12) versus Asset-Based (¥4.94). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the publication of textbooks and supplementary materials, general books, periodicals, electronic audio-visual products, and digital products in China.
Full company description
Shandong Publishing&Media Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the publication of textbooks and supplementary materials, general books, periodicals, electronic audio-visual products, and digital products in China. The company publishes and distributes teaching materials and teaching aids, general books, audio-visual products, etc.; and wholesales and retails stationary products. It also engages in the procurement and sale of paper, wood pulp, equipment, and other material products; provision of printing and packaging of various books, newspapers, etc.; and provision of software development, logistics, online education platform, and hotel services. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Jinan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Publishing&Media Co reported revenue of ¥11.2B in FY2025 versus ¥10.9B in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.2B in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Publishing · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co 002181 | ¥7.61 | ¥1.35 | -82% |
| Central China Land Media CO.,LTD, 000719 | ¥12.18 | ¥25.26 | +107% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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