EN DE
Watch Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes.
Data-driven stock valuation

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC stock VND 1,358, price VND 5,800, upside -76.6%, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Consumer Defensive · VN · ISIN VN000000HNG9

HA Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC logo Thin data Oct 23, 2026

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC

HNG · VN

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 77% below what the stock costs today.

Moderate debt
Fair value 1,358 VND · Strongly overvalued (−76.6%)
Quality 35/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −36.6 %/yr in VND)
Loss-making · -181.4% net margin (FY2023)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
Watch Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

13,650 VND 3,350 VND Fair Value 1,358 VND Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3,350 VND – 13,650 VND · fair‑value band 1,013 VND – 2,027 VND · the 5,800 VND price screens above the 1,358 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.

Follow Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cultivation and trading of fruit, rubber, oil palm, and other crops in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. The company operates through Agriculture, and Trading and Services segments.

Show moreShow less

It is also engaged in production and sale of coffee and tea, as well as seedlings; providing planting services, and crop related materials; and industrial construction and civil works. The company was formerly known as Hoang Anh Gia Lai Rubber Joint Stock Company.

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural Joint Stock Company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Pleiku, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) currently trades at 5,800 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,358 VND, 76.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 84/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 1,013 VND (bear) to 2,027 VND (bull), the price of 5,800 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC reported revenue of 606B VND in FY2023 versus 2.4T VND in FY2020, a compound −36.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1T VND in FY2023.

Key figures

Market cap 6.4T VND (≈ $249M) Micro · EPS (TTM) −1,102 VND · Return on equity −47.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.0% · Operating margin −356% · Revenue (TTM) 474B VND · Revenue growth (YoY) −48.0% · Free cash flow −13.0B VND.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −77%, HNG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,013 VND Fair Value 1,358 VND Bull 2,027 VND
Price 5,800 VND · Upside -76.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 1,013 VND 1,358 VND 2,027 VND 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,013 VND 1,358 VND 2,027 VND 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 37
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 4
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 54
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 31
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 24
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 80
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.0% (2020) → −130.1% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 2 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

HNG screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

Compare Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −7.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −181.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −48.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.90× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.85× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 13.56× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)55 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 46

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.00 THB 59.28 THB +196% vs HNG
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥42.02 ¥115.35 +175% vs HNG
L.D.C. S.A LOUP €104.60 €175.19 +67% vs HNG
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 216.80 kr 272.84 +26% vs HNG
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.32 MYR 33.35 MYR +10% vs HNG
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥15.98 ¥12.08 −24% vs HNG
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $55.90 $37.06 −34% vs HNG
Bunge Global SA BG $102.23 $66.58 −35% vs HNG
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $80.14 $46.97 −41% vs HNG
SalMar ASA SALM kr 578.00 kr 171.05 −70% vs HNG

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorP/E Ratio CalculatorPEG Ratio CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorIntrinsic ValueIntrinsic vs Extrinsic ValueP/E Ratio by Sector
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC · Fair Value
1,358 VND −77%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HNG

Frequently asked questions

Is Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,358 VND versus a price of 5,800 VND, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HNG?
Our model-based fair value for Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is 1,358 VND (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5,800 VND.
What is the quality score of HNG?
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,358 VND (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,013 VND, optimistic scenario 2,027 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,358 VND, about −77% upside versus a price of 5,800 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1,013 VND, optimistic scenario 2,027 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 474B VND (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC it is 1,358 VND per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 5,800 VND. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, HNG trades above its calculated fair value: price 5,800 VND, fair value 1,358 VND, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HNG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5,800 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,358 VND). For Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC the two are 4,442 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC worth?
The market values Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC at about 6.4T VND (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 5,800 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 1,358 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HNG?
Our models span a range for Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC: cautious scenario 1,013 VND, base 1,358 VND, optimistic 2,027 VND per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 5,800 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity −47.2%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HNG from its 52-week high?
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC trades at 5,800 VND, about 25% below its 52-week high of 7,700 VND and 7% above the low of 5,400 VND (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,358 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 5,800 VND, calculated fair value 1,358 VND (−77%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HNG calculated?
We run Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,358 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 5,800 VND. Our model-based fair value is 1,358 VND, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,027 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1,013 VND to 2,027 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
The market capitalisation of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is 6.4T VND (≈ $249M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
Earnings per share at Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC are −1,102 VND. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is −47.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is −5.0% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
The operating margin of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is −356% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG)?
Revenue at Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is growing −48.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −36.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) generate?
The free cash flow of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is −13.0B VND (fiscal year 2023). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) carry?
The net debt of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is 8.2T VND (fiscal year 2023). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed

Watch Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC in the live analysis

One click puts Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.