Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Below-average quality, and trading another 379% above our fair value of 1,358 VND.
As of Sep 6, 2026, the fair value of Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC is 1,358 VND per share against a price of 6,500 VND, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 6, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −3.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,027 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (1,013 VND to 2,027 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,350 VND – 13,650 VND · fair‑value band 1,013 VND – 2,027 VND · the 6,500 VND price screens above the 1,358 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 6, 2026.
Analysis
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC (HNG) currently trades at 6,500 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,358 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 378.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 84/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 474B VND. Revenue declined 48.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −47.2%. Net debt stands at 8.2T VND. Fundamentals as of Sep 6, 2026
Scenario range: 1,013 VND (bear) to 2,027 VND (bull), the price of 6,500 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −79%, HNG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cultivation and trading of fruit, rubber, oil palm, and other crops in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. The company operates through Agriculture, and Trading and Services segments.
Full company description
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cultivation and trading of fruit, rubber, oil palm, and other crops in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. The company operates through Agriculture, and Trading and Services segments. It is also engaged in production and sale of coffee and tea, as well as seedlings; providing planting services, and crop related materials; and industrial construction and civil works. The company was formerly known as Hoang Anh Gia Lai Rubber Joint Stock Company. Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural Joint Stock Company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Pleiku, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
Hoang Anh Gia Lai Agricultural JSC reported revenue of 606B VND in FY2023 versus 2.4T VND in FY2020, a compound −36.6%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1T VND in FY2023.
HNG screens 379% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 286 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $84.61 | $38.02 | −55% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $118.71 | $56.19 | −53% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $51.42 | $28.60 | −44% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
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