Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $893M

Analysis

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) currently trades at $17.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.34 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Hallador Energy Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an independent power producer and fuel company in the United States. It operates in two segments, Electric Operations and Coal Operations. The company owns and operates the Meron power plant, a 1,080 megawatts coal-fired power generating station that consists of two steam turbine generators and sells accredited capacity to utilities and other energy market participants. It also sells wholesale energy to utilities, generation and transmission cooperatives, and other energy market participants. In addition, the company operates the Oaktown mining complex, a coal mining and processing operation located in Knox and Sullivan counties, Indiana, and Crawford and Lawrence counties, Illinois. Hallador Energy Company was founded in 1949 and is based in Terre Haute, Indiana.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.