Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $65.1B
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company
HPE · US
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from $3.44 to $2.32 (−32.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +20.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 96% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.9000 to $7.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.83 – $59.82 · fair‑value band $0.9000 – $7.16 · the $59.82 price screens above the $2.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE) currently trades at $59.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.32, implying the stock looks roughly 96.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company generated revenue of $35.7B at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 18.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.5%. Net debt stands at $18.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.9000 (bear case) to $7.16 (bull case); at $59.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 250% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -96%, HPE screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($12.49) versus Earnings-Based ($0.4400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent solutions in the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Server, Hybrid Cloud, Networking, Financial Services, and Corporate Investments and Other.
Full company description
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent solutions in the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Server, Hybrid Cloud, Networking, Financial Services, and Corporate Investments and Other. The company offers general-purpose servers, workload-optimized servers, and integrated systems, including HPE ProLiant Rack and Tower servers; HPE Synergy; HPE Scale Up servers; HPE Edgeline servers; HPE Cray EX; HPE Cray XD; and HPE NonStop. It also provides cloud-native and hybrid solutions, such as HPE Alletra Storage; HPE InfoSight; HPE CloudPhysics; and HPE GreenLake. In addition, the company develops and sells networking and security products and services comprising hardware products, which include Wi-Fi and private cellular access points, MX and PTX routers, and gateways, as well as QFX, EX, and CX switches; software products, such as Mist and Aruba Central; and services comprising professional, maintenance, support services, management software, and education and training programs. Further, it offers investment solutions, including leasing, financing, IT consumption, utility programs, and asset management services, as well as supports financial solutions for on-premise flexible consumption models. The company serves commercial and large enterprise groups, as well as business and public sector enterprises. It sells its products through resellers, distribution partners, master area partners, original equipment manufacturers, independent software vendors, systems integrators, and advisory firms. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company reported revenue of $34.3B in FY2025 versus $27.9B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $57.0M in FY2025, compounding −64.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −4.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
HPE screens 96% overvalued. Compare with Cisco Systems, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- HPE or SIMO: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Investors’ Confidence Boosted Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE)
- Zacks.com featured highlights include Harmony Biosciences, Invesco, General Motors, Hewlett Packard and Quanex Building
Peer Group
Communication Equipment · 300 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Communication Equipment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Communication Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cisco Systems, Inc CSCO | $120.43 | $61.53 | -49% |
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| Eoptolink Technology Inc 300502 | ¥429.90 | ¥176.99 | -59% |
| Nokia Oyj NOK | $10.32 | $3.77 | -63% |
| Motorola Solutions, Inc MSI | $469.74 | $236.33 | -50% |
| Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co 300394 | ¥240.05 | ¥43.67 | -82% |
| Accton Technology Corporation 2345 | 2,270 TWD | 1,135 TWD | -50% |
| Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ), ERICB | kr 97.78 | kr 157.82 | +61% |
| ZTE Corporation 000063 | ¥35.59 | ¥19.72 | -45% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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