The Hershey Company (HSHY34) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · BR · Market cap R$177B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −5.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$168.36 – R$246.38 · fair‑value band R$17.54 – R$29.79 · the R$174.90 price screens above the R$23.83 fair value. As of Jul 13, 2026.
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The Hershey Company (HSHY34) currently trades at R$174.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$23.83, implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Hershey Company generated revenue of R$12.0B at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.2%. Net debt stands at R$4.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$17.54 (bear case) to R$29.79 (bull case); at R$174.90, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -86%, HSHY34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
The Hershey Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of confectionery products and pantry items in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International. The company offers chocolate and non-chocolate confectionery products; gum and mint refreshment products, including mints, chewing gums, and bubble gums; protein bars; pantry items, such as baking ingredients, toppings, beverages, and sundae syrups; and snack items comprising spreads, bars, snack bites, mixes, popcorn, and pretzels. It provides its products primarily under the Hershey's, Reese's, Kisses, Jolly Rancher, Almond Joy, Brookside, barkTHINS, Cadbury, Good & Plenty, Heath, Kit Kat, Payday, Rolo, Twizzlers, Sour Strips, Whoppers, York, Ice Breakers, Breath Savers, Bubble Yum, Lily's, SkinnyPop, Pirates Booty, Dot's Homestyle Pretzels, and ONE Bar brands, as well as under the Pelon Pelo Rico, …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Hershey Company reported revenue of R$11.7B in FY2025 versus R$10.4B in FY2022, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was R$883M in FY2025, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2022.
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Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 95,500 | CHF 61,551 | -36% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $59.51 | $27.68 | -53% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BYCBF | $1,422 | $977.28 | -31% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 132,600 KRW | 184,578 KRW | +39% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $51.08 | +29% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥24.13 | ¥9.83 | -59% |
| Kotobuki Spirits Co KBKIF | $10.50 | $9.73 | -7% |
| Cloetta AB CLOEF | $5.38 | $4.97 | -8% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹534.20 | ₹304.54 | -43% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 25,900 KRW | 41,074 KRW | +59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.