Halcyon Technology Public Company (HTECH) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TH · Market cap 1.2B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +5.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2.80 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.90 THB – 5.97 THB · fair‑value band 1.68 THB – 2.80 THB · the 4.00 THB price screens above the 2.48 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Halcyon Technology Public Company (HTECH) currently trades at 4.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.48 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 38.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Halcyon Technology Public Company generated revenue of 1.2B THB at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 103M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.68 THB (bear case) to 2.80 THB (bull case); at 4.00 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -38%, HTECH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (6.58 THB) versus Earnings-Based (0.8200 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Halcyon Technology Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, imports, and sells cutting tools, jig and fixtures, and custom metallic devices in Thailand and internationally.
Full company description
Halcyon Technology Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, imports, and sells cutting tools, jig and fixtures, and custom metallic devices in Thailand and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Manufacturing and Selling of Customized Cutting Tools; Importing and Selling of Cutting Tools; and Manufacturing and Selling of Metal Fabricated Products. The company offers polycrystalline diamond (PCD), special, carbide, and step drills; PCD, carbide, and cermet reamers; PCD and carbide end mills, inserts, and boring bars; PCD face mills and form tools; monocrystalline, single crystal diamond, natural diamond, and polycrystalline carbon boron nitride cutting tools; and tool holders and metal fabricated products. It also exports its products. The company serves manufacturers of electronic, automotive, hard disk drive, and aerospace parts; and other mechanical-related industries. Halcyon Technology Public Company Limited was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Halcyon Technology Public Company reported revenue of 1.2B THB in FY2025 versus 1.1B THB in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 34.4M THB in FY2025, compounding −29.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +5.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
HTECH screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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