Hitachi Ltd (HTHIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $135B
Hitachi Ltd
HTHIF · US
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated today
Share price +13.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 43% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.17 – $37.98 · fair‑value band $17.82 – $29.69 · the $33.96 price screens above the $23.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Hitachi Ltd (HTHIF) currently trades at $33.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.76, implying the stock looks roughly 30.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hitachi Ltd generated revenue of $10.6T at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $316B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $17.82 (bear case) to $29.69 (bull case); at $33.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -30%, HTHIF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($3,806) versus Asset-Based ($984.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hitachi, Ltd. provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Systems & Services, Green Energy & Mobility, Connective Industries, and Others segments.
Full company description
Hitachi, Ltd. provides digital system and services, green energy and mobility, and connective industry solutions in Japan and internationally. It operates through Digital Systems & Services, Green Energy & Mobility, Connective Industries, and Others segments. The company offers system integration, consulting, cloud services, storage, servers, software, and ATMs; finance solutions, social infrastructure information systems, public IT solutions, industrial internet of things, digital engineering, control system, and cloud services; and IT products, such as data management and storage. It also provides power grids, clean, nuclear, renewable energy, and railway systems, such as rolling stock, signaling, supervision, telecommunications, and ticketing and payment solutions; automotive automation, including automotive assembly, glass applications, press automation, powertrain, paint and sealer applications, and tyre and wheel systems; and emobility solutions, as well as elevators and escalators, home appliances, air conditioners, industry and distribution solution, water and environment solutions, and industrial machinery. In addition, the company offers semiconductor manufacturing equipment; electron microscopes and atomic force microscopes; analytical systems, such as spectrophotometers, thermal analysis and chromatography systems, x-ray fluorescence analyzers, silicon drift detectors, potentiometric titrator, laser induced breakdown spectroscopy, and magnetic induction devices; clinical analyzers, and treatment and diagnostics solutions; and property management and other services. The company serves semiconductors, automotive , electrical, chemical and pharmaceuticals, healthcare, life-sciences, ICT, metals and mining, engineering and manufacturing, oils and petrochemicals, nonmetal materials, energy and batteries, environment, recycling, food and beverage, utilities, and other industries. Hitachi, Ltd. was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hitachi Ltd reported revenue of $10.7T in FY2026 versus $10.3T in FY2022, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was $807B in FY2026, compounding +8.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +0.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
HTHIF screens 30% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Hitachi Vantara Achieves Strong Q1 Revenue Growth as VSP One Drives Greater Enterprise Performance, Resilience and Scalability
- SoftBank, Hitachi, LG back Zenity’s $125 million round to police AI agents
- Hitachi beats top-line and bottom-line estimates; guidance revised upward for FY26
- Hitachi (TSE:6501) Could Be 22% Undervalued As EVTOL Charging Deal Draws Focus
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 391 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| 3M Company MMM | $180.00 | $76.87 | -57% |
| Honeywell International Inc HON | $220.67 | $218.95 | -1% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$13.02 | HK$26.04 | +100% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €27.65 | €7.65 | -72% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$102.90 | HK$35.70 | -65% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,790 IDR | 9,580 IDR | +100% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $59.10 | $79.11 | +34% |
| Kingboard Holdings 0148 | HK$45.52 | HK$32.91 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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