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Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹30.3B

HL Hubtown Limited HUBTOWN · NSE
Price₹186.62
Fair Value₹134.43
Upside-28.0%
Quality41/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 23.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range ₹95.66 – ₹181.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −8.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹181.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹95.66 to ₹181.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹363.65 ₹15.30 Fair Value ₹134.43 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹15.30 – ₹363.65 · fair‑value band ₹95.66 – ₹181.82 · the ₹186.62 price screens above the ₹134.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) currently trades at ₹186.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹134.43, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hubtown Limited generated revenue of ₹6.4B at a net margin of 23.1%. Revenue grew 65.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at ₹8.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹95.66 (bear case) to ₹181.82 (bull case); at ₹186.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -28%, HUBTOWN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹105.43 ₹204.63 ₹367.54 80
Residual Income ₹143.42 ₹145.77 ₹143.92 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹70.91 ₹140.89 ₹228.32 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹105.32 ₹210.08 ₹384.80 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹70.91 ₹141.37 ₹233.97 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹91.91 ₹183.33 ₹294.66 41
10Y Revenue Exit ₹78.35 ₹148.07 ₹248.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹95.25 ₹178.28 ₹297.91 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.9600 ₹2.00 ₹3.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.9600 ₹1.69 ₹2.10 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple ₹133.23 ₹177.64 ₹222.05 58
P/B Multiple ₹133.23 ₹177.64 ₹222.05 55
EV/EBIT ₹134.17 ₹192.08 ₹249.99 53
EV/EBITDA ₹97.47 ₹143.15 ₹188.82 54
EV/Revenue ₹56.26 ₹97.32 ₹138.38 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹92.46 ₹123.89 ₹184.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹105.43 ₹204.63 ₹367.54 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹70.91 ₹140.89 ₹228.32 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹143.42 ₹145.77 ₹143.92 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹178.28) versus Dividend Discount (₹1.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹6.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +65.4%
Net margin 23.1%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow ₹1.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 17.6
More key figures
Operating margin 48.5%
EPS (TTM) ₹10.61
EPS growth (YoY) +512%
Net debt ₹8.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hubtown Limited engages in the development and construction of real estate projects in India. The company develops residential and commercial, IT, industrial, and infrastructure projects, as well as build operate transfer projects. It is also involved in security plates, education research, and infrastructure facilities businesses.

Full company description

Hubtown Limited engages in the development and construction of real estate projects in India. The company develops residential and commercial, IT, industrial, and infrastructure projects, as well as build operate transfer projects. It is also involved in security plates, education research, and infrastructure facilities businesses. The company was formerly known as Ackruti City Limited and changed its name to Hubtown Limited in November 2011. Hubtown Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hubtown Limited reported revenue of ₹6.4B in FY2026 versus ₹1.7B in FY2022, a compound +39.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.5B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹6.4B
Latest YoY
+57.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+30.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Revenue +39.3%/yr
FY22 ₹1.7B
FY23 ₹2.9B
FY24 ₹2.2B
FY25 ₹4.1B
FY26 ₹6.4B
Net income
FY22 −₹1.3B
FY23 ₹305M
FY24 −₹854M
FY25 ₹465M
FY26 ₹1.5B

HUBTOWN screens 28% overvalued. Compare with DLF Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubtown Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUBTOWN

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 591 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 65% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.15× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.70× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 23.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 47
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 25 · sector 10
HEALTH 83 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹661.75 ₹146.13 -78%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,209 ₹583.43 -52%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,150 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 595.00 IDR 1,488 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 73.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +15%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 610.00 IDR 1,525 IDR +150%
Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH 18,150 VND 20,338 VND +12%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,300 IDR 6,239 IDR +45%
PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS 147.00 IDR 164.33 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹134.43 versus a price of ₹186.62, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HUBTOWN?
Our model-based fair value for Hubtown Limited is ₹134.43 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹186.62.
What is the quality score of HUBTOWN?
Hubtown Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Hubtown Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HUBTOWN?
The net profit margin of Hubtown Limited is about 23.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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