Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Hubtown Limited ₹166, price ₹177, upside -6.6%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹24.50 – ₹363.65 · fair‑value band ₹95.66 – ₹250.77 · the ₹177.42 price screens above the ₹165.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Hubtown Limited engages in the development and construction of real estate projects in India. The company develops residential and commercial, IT, industrial, and infrastructure projects, as well as build operate transfer projects. It is also involved in security plates, education research, and infrastructure facilities businesses.
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Hubtown Limited engages in the development and construction of real estate projects in India. The company develops residential and commercial, IT, industrial, and infrastructure projects, as well as build operate transfer projects. It is also involved in security plates, education research, and infrastructure facilities businesses. The company was formerly known as Ackruti City Limited and changed its name to Hubtown Limited in November 2011. Hubtown Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) currently trades at ₹177.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹165.67, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹207.11 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹177.42 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹123.89, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹95.66 (bear) to ₹250.77 (bull), the price of ₹177.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Hubtown Limited reported revenue of ₹6.4B in FY2026 versus ₹1.7B in FY2022, a compound +39.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.5B in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹30.3B (≈ $314M) · P/E ratio 16.7 · P/S ratio 3.86 · EPS (TTM) ₹10.61 · Net margin 23.1% · Return on equity 6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin 48.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at −7%, HUBTOWN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹95.66Fair Value ₹165.67Bull ₹250.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹5.38 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+57.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.7% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +14.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−44% → 23%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 4.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 153% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 571 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside−6.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.4% · Above median
Return on assets1.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)23.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)48.5% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth65.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubtown Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUBTOWN
Frequently asked questions
Is Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹165.67 versus a price of ₹177.42, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HUBTOWN?
Our model-based fair value for Hubtown Limited is ₹165.67 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹177.42.
What is the quality score of HUBTOWN?
Hubtown Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹165.67 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹95.66, optimistic scenario ₹250.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubtown Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹165.67, about −7% upside versus a price of ₹177.42 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹95.66, optimistic scenario ₹250.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Hubtown Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hubtown Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +15.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.9 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HUBTOWN use?
Our models discount Hubtown Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hubtown Limited that is +15.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hubtown Limited grew +21.9 % a year. The price currently implies +15.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hubtown Limited (+15.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.71 %: that much free cash flow Hubtown Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubtown Limited it is ₹165.67 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹177.42. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hubtown Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, HUBTOWN trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹177.42, fair value ₹165.67, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HUBTOWN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹177.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹165.67). For Hubtown Limited the two are ₹11.75 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubtown Limited worth?
The market values Hubtown Limited at about ₹30.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹177.42; our models calculate a fair value of ₹165.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HUBTOWN?
Our models span a range for Hubtown Limited: cautious scenario ₹95.66, base ₹165.67, optimistic ₹250.77 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹177.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HUBTOWN?
Hubtown Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹165.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 4.7, EV/EBITDA 23.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubtown Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 6.4%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HUBTOWN from its 52-week high?
Hubtown Limited trades at ₹177.42, about 47% below its 52-week high of ₹333.25 and 7% above the low of ₹166.41 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹165.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubtown Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubtown Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹177.42, calculated fair value ₹165.67 (−7%), Quality Score 41/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HUBTOWN calculated?
We run Hubtown Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹165.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hubtown Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹177.42. Our model-based fair value is ₹165.67, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hubtown Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹95.66 to ₹250.77). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Hubtown Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The market capitalisation of Hubtown Limited is ₹30.3B (≈ $314M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hubtown Limited is 3.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Earnings per share at Hubtown Limited are ₹10.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The net margin of Hubtown Limited is 23.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hubtown Limited is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hubtown Limited is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
The operating margin of Hubtown Limited is 48.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Revenue at Hubtown Limited is growing +65.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN)?
Earnings per share at Hubtown Limited are growing +512% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hubtown Limited (HUBTOWN) carry?
The net debt of Hubtown Limited is ₹8.7B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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