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Huhtamäki Oyj (HUH1V) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FI · Market cap €2.8B

HO Huhtamäki Oyj HUH1V · HE
Price€31.60
Fair Value€31.06
Upside-1.7%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.30% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range €21.35 – €38.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +20.9% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (€21.35 to €38.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€38.94 €23.64 Fair Value €31.06 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €23.64 – €38.94 · fair‑value band €21.35 – €38.82 · the €31.60 price screens above the €31.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Huhtamäki Oyj (HUH1V) currently trades at €31.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.06, implying the stock looks roughly 1.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Huhtamäki Oyj generated revenue of €3.9B at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at €1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €21.35 (bear case) to €38.82 (bull case); at €31.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -2%, HUH1V screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €22.22 €32.22 €45.93 80
Residual Income €15.47 €17.17 €24.41 76
Rev-Margin DCF €19.80 €32.91 €47.20 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €21.34 €31.91 €47.10 38
Owner Earnings €14.84 €23.01 €34.76 31
5Y Revenue Exit €19.80 €32.47 €48.49 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €24.34 €40.36 €58.71 41
5Y P/E Exit €16.14 €26.12 €36.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit €19.40 €30.51 €43.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €22.90 €35.66 €50.67 37
10Y P/E Exit €17.94 €26.37 €35.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €12.42 €24.87 €31.24 54
EPV €15.38 €18.96 €22.05 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.66 €13.63 €17.58 70
DDM Multi-Stage €9.66 €13.38 €17.53 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €23.29 €31.06 €38.82 63
P/S Multiple €23.29 €31.06 €38.82 58
P/B Multiple €23.29 €31.06 €38.82 55
EV/EBIT €25.12 €35.93 €46.74 53
EV/EBITDA €31.28 €44.14 €57.01 54
EV/Revenue €20.79 €32.84 €44.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €8.80 €11.79 €17.60 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €22.22 €32.22 €45.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF €19.80 €32.91 €47.20 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €15.47 €17.17 €24.41 76
ROIC Compounder €15.38 €19.28 €23.76 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €17.08 €24.40 €31.72 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€32.22) versus Asset-Based (€11.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €3.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow €305M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.3
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) €1.76
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.6%
Net debt €1.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huhtamäki Oyj provides packaging solutions in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, India, Turkey, Australia, Thailand, Poland, South Africa, Spain, Finland, and internationally. It operates through Foodservice Packaging, North America, Flexible Packaging, and Fiber Packaging segments.

Full company description

Huhtamäki Oyj provides packaging solutions in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, India, Turkey, Australia, Thailand, Poland, South Africa, Spain, Finland, and internationally. It operates through Foodservice Packaging, North America, Flexible Packaging, and Fiber Packaging segments. The company offers beverage-to-go packaging solutions, which includes single and double-wall paper, coffee and cold drinks cups, cup carriers, lids, accessories and short run prints customized paper cups; food-to-go packaging solutions, such as trays, containers, clamshells, scoops, bowls, wraps, and various accessories for take-away and dining; and egg trays, egg cartons, fruit trays, and wine bottle separators. In addition, it provides stickpacks, sachets, and valve pouches for coffee packaging; stand-up and spouted pouches for liquid drinks; and tea bag envelopes, paper tags, and outer packaging for tea packaging, as well as powder drinks packaging. Further, the company offers packaged food consisting of satchets, stand up pouches, cube laminates, and cartons for culinary, ice cream, confectionary, stock cube, and other retail food markets; and pet food packaging, such as 4-side seal pouches and stand-up pouches for dry food, wet food, and snacks and treats. Additionally, it provides wicketed bags, stand-up pouches, sachets, and flowwraps for beauty, cleaning and laundry, and family care products; OTC/nutritional supplements, prescriptive, and transdermal patches packaging; and paper-based products for ice cream, yoghurt, dairy, spreads, and other snacks. The company also provides retail, catering disposables, and vending cups packaging products under the Chinet brand. It serves food, beverage, and petfood companies, quick service and fast casual restaurants, foodservice operators, fresh produce packers, and retailers, as well as home and personal care, industrial, FMCG, and healthcare sectors. Huhtamäki Oyj was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huhtamäki Oyj reported revenue of €4.0B in FY2025 versus €3.6B in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was €192M in FY2025, compounding −0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.0B
Latest YoY
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+0.7%
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 €3.6B
FY22 €4.5B
FY23 €4.2B
FY24 €4.1B
FY25 €4.0B
Net income −0.9%/yr
FY21 €199M
FY22 €276M
FY23 €206M
FY24 €224M
FY25 €192M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huhtamäki Oyj Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUH1V

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.63× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 31 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 37 · sector 21
HEALTH 69 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 42

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huhtamäki Oyj (HUH1V) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €31.06 versus a price of €31.60, about −2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HUH1V?
Our model-based fair value for Huhtamäki Oyj is €31.06 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €31.60.
What is the quality score of HUH1V?
Huhtamäki Oyj has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huhtamäki Oyj (HUH1V)?
Huhtamäki Oyj reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HUH1V?
The net profit margin of Huhtamäki Oyj is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huhtamäki Oyj pay a dividend?
Huhtamäki Oyj currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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