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Hurco Companies, Inc (HURC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $142M

HC Hurco Companies, Inc logo Hurco Companies, Inc HURC · US
Price$22.06
Fair Value$39.10
Upside+77.2%
Quality60/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -6.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Narrow moat 21/100
Evidence: Low Range $29.08 – $49.13 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 77% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($29.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.07 $13.28 Fair Value $39.10 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.28 – $35.07 · fair‑value band $29.08 – $49.13 · the $22.06 price screens below the $39.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Hurco Companies, Inc (HURC) currently trades at $22.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.10, implying the stock looks roughly 77.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hurco Companies, Inc generated revenue of $182M at a net margin of -6.9%. Revenue grew 16.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $36.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.08 (bear case) to $49.13 (bull case); at $22.06, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 77%, HURC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $28.11 $33.88 $40.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.73 $39.37 $50.97 74
NCAV (Graham) $15.35 $20.57 $30.69 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $27.92 $34.38 $41.96 38
5Y Revenue Exit $28.73 $39.10 $51.85 39
10Y Revenue Exit $27.64 $35.92 $46.14 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue $30.92 $40.95 $50.97 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.35 $20.57 $30.69 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $28.11 $33.88 $40.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.73 $39.37 $50.97 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($40.95) versus Asset-Based ($20.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $182M
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.5%
Net margin -6.9%
Return on equity -6.4%
Free cash flow $16.7M FY2025
Operating margin -1.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.96
EPS growth (YoY) +68.6%
Net cash $36.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hurco Companies, Inc., an industrial technology company, designs, manufactures, and sells computerized machine tools to companies in the metal cutting industry in the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Full company description

Hurco Companies, Inc., an industrial technology company, designs, manufactures, and sells computerized machine tools to companies in the metal cutting industry in the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally. Its principal products include general-purpose computerized machine tools, including vertical and horizontal machining centers, turning centers, and toolroom machines. The company also provides computer control systems and related software for press brake applications. In addition, it offers machine tool components, automation integration equipment, and solutions for job shops; and software options, control upgrades, and accessories and replacement parts for its products, as well as customer service, training, and applications support services. Further, the company provides Autobend computer control systems for press brake machines; and WinMax, an integrated Hurco CNC Control software. It serves independent job shops and specialized short-run production applications within large manufacturing operations, as well as precision tool, die, and mold manufacturers in aerospace, defense, medical equipment, energy, automotive/transportation, electronics, and computer industries. The company sells its products under the Hurco, Milltronics, and Takumi brands through independent agents and distributors, as well as through its direct sales and service organizations. Hurco Companies, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hurco Companies, Inc reported revenue of $179M in FY2025 versus $235M in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$179M
Latest YoY
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Revenue −6.7%/yr
FY21 $235M
FY22 $251M
FY23 $228M
FY24 $187M
FY25 $179M
Net income
FY21 $6.8M
FY22 $8.2M
FY23 $4.4M
FY24 −$16.6M
FY25 −$15.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hurco Companies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HURC

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +77% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.72× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.51× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 83 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hurco Companies, Inc (HURC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.10 versus a price of $22.06, about +77% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HURC?
Our model-based fair value for Hurco Companies, Inc is $39.10 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.06.
What is the quality score of HURC?
Hurco Companies, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hurco Companies, Inc (HURC)?
Hurco Companies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $182M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HURC?
The net profit margin of Hurco Companies, Inc is about -6.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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