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Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Hurco Companies Inc $36.97, price $21.20, upside +74.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN US4473241044

HC Hurco Companies Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Hurco Companies Inc

HURC · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $36.97 · Strongly undervalued (+74%)
!Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$32.74 $13.28 Fair Value $36.97 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.28 – $32.74 · fair‑value band $29.08 – $47.69 · the $21.20 price screens below the $36.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Hurco Companies, Inc., an industrial technology company, designs, manufactures, and sells computerized machine tools to companies in the metal cutting industry in the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally.

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Hurco Companies, Inc., an industrial technology company, designs, manufactures, and sells computerized machine tools to companies in the metal cutting industry in the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally. Its principal products include general-purpose computerized machine tools, including vertical and horizontal machining centers, turning centers, and toolroom machines. The company also provides computer control systems and related software for press brake applications. In addition, it offers machine tool components, automation integration equipment, and solutions for job shops; and software options, control upgrades, and accessories and replacement parts for its products, as well as customer service, training, and applications support services. Further, the company provides Autobend computer control systems for press brake machines; and WinMax, an integrated Hurco CNC Control software. It serves independent job shops and specialized short-run production applications within large manufacturing operations, as well as precision tool, die, and mold manufacturers in aerospace, defense, medical equipment, energy, automotive/transportation, electronics, and computer industries. The company sells its products under the Hurco, Milltronics, and Takumi brands through independent agents and distributors, as well as through its direct sales and service organizations. Hurco Companies, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Stock analysis

Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) currently trades at $21.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.97, implying the stock looks roughly 42.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $40.95 per share, and 6 of the 7 models we run sit above the $21.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $20.57, and 1 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $29.08 (bear) to $47.69 (bull), the price of $21.20 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Hurco Companies Inc reported revenue of $179M in FY2025 versus $235M in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $137M · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) $−1.96 · Net margin −8.5% · Return on equity −6.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −1.7% · Revenue (TTM) $182M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 74%, HURC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $29.08 Fair Value $36.97 Bull $47.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $28.00 $34.49 $42.10 82
Growth DCF $28.20 $33.99 $40.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.77 $39.41 $51.02 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $28.00 $34.49 $42.10 82
5Y Revenue Exit $28.77 $39.14 $51.90 73
10Y Revenue Exit $27.69 $35.98 $46.22 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $30.92 $40.95 $50.97 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.35 $20.57 $30.69 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $28.20 $33.99 $40.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.77 $39.41 $51.02 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.8% (2020) → −5.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 827 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +74% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 17% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.69× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.51× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)83 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $955.04 $210.47 −78%
SIE SIE €274.80 €150.42 −45%
Eaton Corporation ETN $440.00 $173.12 −61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $974.98 $494.81 −49%
Cummins Inc CMI $524.65 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $273.42 $151.39 −45%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.59 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $432.89 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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$36.97 +43%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hurco Companies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HURC

Frequently asked questions

Is Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.97 versus a price of $21.20, about +74% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HURC?
Our model-based fair value for Hurco Companies Inc is $36.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.20.
What is the quality score of HURC?
Hurco Companies Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $36.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.08, optimistic scenario $47.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hurco Companies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $36.97, about +74% upside versus a price of $21.20 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $29.08, optimistic scenario $47.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Hurco Companies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $182M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hurco Companies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -10.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HURC use?
Our models discount Hurco Companies Inc at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hurco Companies Inc that is -10.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hurco Companies Inc grew +0.9 % a year. The price currently implies -10.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hurco Companies Inc (-10.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.17 %: that much free cash flow Hurco Companies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hurco Companies Inc it is $36.97 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $21.20. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hurco Companies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HURC trades below its calculated fair value: price $21.20, fair value $36.97, a gap of about +74% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HURC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($36.97). For Hurco Companies Inc the two are $15.77 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hurco Companies Inc worth?
The market values Hurco Companies Inc at about $137M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $21.20; our models calculate a fair value of $36.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HURC?
Our models span a range for Hurco Companies Inc: cautious scenario $29.08, base $36.97, optimistic $47.69 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $21.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of HURC?
The PEG ratio of Hurco Companies Inc is 0.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hurco Companies Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HURC from its 52-week high?
Hurco Companies Inc trades at $21.20, about 9% below its 52-week high of $23.32 and 44% above the low of $14.68 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $36.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hurco Companies Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hurco Companies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $21.20, calculated fair value $36.97 (+74%), Quality Score 60/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HURC calculated?
We run Hurco Companies Inc through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $36.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hurco Companies Inc currently trades 74 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $21.20. Our model-based fair value is $36.97, about +74% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hurco Companies Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($29.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Hurco Companies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The market capitalisation of Hurco Companies Inc is $137M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hurco Companies Inc is 0.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Earnings per share at Hurco Companies Inc are $−1.96. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The net margin of Hurco Companies Inc is −8.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hurco Companies Inc is −6.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hurco Companies Inc is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The operating margin of Hurco Companies Inc is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Revenue at Hurco Companies Inc is growing +16.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Earnings per share at Hurco Companies Inc are growing +68.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) hold?
Hurco Companies Inc holds more cash than debt, $36.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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