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Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hurco Companies Inc stock $37.20, price $20.63, upside +80.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

HC Hurco Companies Inc logo Thin data Nov 8, 2026

Hurco Companies Inc

HURC · US
Meets all rules

The stock costs 45% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $37.20 · Strongly undervalued
Quality 60/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Upbeat coverage
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 41% above the price ($29.09).
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.9 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -3.6% net margin (TTM)
Narrow moat 25/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$32.50 $13.28 Fair Value $37.20 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.28 – $32.50 · fair‑value band $29.09 – $48.04 · the $20.63 price screens below the $37.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Hurco Companies, Inc., an industrial technology company, designs, manufactures, and sells computerized machine tools to companies in the metal cutting industry in the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, and internationally.

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Its principal products include general-purpose computerized machine tools, including vertical and horizontal machining centers, turning centers, and toolroom machines. The company also provides computer control systems and related software for press brake applications.

In addition, it offers machine tool components, automation integration equipment, and solutions for job shops; and software options, control upgrades, and accessories and replacement parts for its products, as well as customer service, training, and applications support services.

Further, the company provides Autobend computer control systems for press brake machines; and WinMax, an integrated Hurco CNC Control software.

It serves independent job shops and specialized short-run production applications within large manufacturing operations, as well as precision tool, die, and mold manufacturers in aerospace, defense, medical equipment, energy, automotive/transportation, electronics, and computer industries.

The company sells its products under the Hurco, Milltronics, and Takumi brands through independent agents and distributors, as well as through its direct sales and service organizations. Hurco Companies, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Stock analysis

Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) currently trades at $20.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $37.20, implying the stock looks roughly 45% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $39.10 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the $20.63 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $24.64, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $29.09 (bear) to $48.04 (bull), the price of $20.63 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Hurco Companies Inc reported revenue of $179M in FY2025 versus $235M in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$15.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $134M Micro · P/S ratio 0.75 · EPS (TTM) $−1.02 · Net margin −3.6% · Return on equity −3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% (5-year average) · Operating margin 5.1% · Revenue (TTM) $183M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 80%, HURC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $29.09 Fair Value $37.20 Bull $48.04
Price $20.63 · Upside +80.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $29.09 $36.36 $45.12 82
Growth DCF $29.34 $35.85 $43.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $29.27 $40.23 $52.18 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $29.09 $36.36 $45.12 82
5Y Revenue Exit $29.27 $39.96 $53.10 73
10Y Revenue Exit $28.44 $37.20 $48.04 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $29.08 $39.10 $49.13 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.26 $24.64 $30.80 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.34 $35.85 $43.33 80
Rev-Margin DCF $29.27 $40.23 $52.18 74

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 63
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 90
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 67
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 58
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 64
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 79
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

  • BuyJanaki SivanesanDirector300 shares at $16.00$4,800Dec 1, 2025

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.0% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.8% (2020) → −5.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.2% a year for the price.

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (64 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 813 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +80.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −3.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 5.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 3.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.67× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.73× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 8.1× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.51× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)16 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Cummins Inc CMI $450.07 $359.36 −20% vs HURC
SIE SIE €263.65 €149.56 −43% vs HURC
AMETEK, Inc AME $228.67 $125.74 −45% vs HURC
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $280.95 $154.30 −45% vs HURC
Sandvik AB SAND kr 357.40 kr 194.33 −46% vs HURC
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $917.79 $492.92 −46% vs HURC
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $375.86 $186.75 −50% vs HURC
Emerson Electric Co EMR $162.35 $79.99 −51% vs HURC
Eaton Corporation ETN $341.72 $156.90 −54% vs HURC
GE Vernova Inc GEV $774.11 $143.50 −81% vs HURC

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hurco Companies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HURC

Frequently asked questions

Is Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $37.20 versus a price of $20.63, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HURC?
Our model-based fair value for Hurco Companies Inc is $37.20 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $20.63.
What is the quality score of HURC?
Hurco Companies Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $37.20 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.09, optimistic scenario $48.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hurco Companies Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $37.20, about +80% upside versus a price of $20.63 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $29.09, optimistic scenario $48.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Hurco Companies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $183M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hurco Companies Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -11.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.9 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HURC use?
Our models discount Hurco Companies Inc at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.72, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hurco Companies Inc that is -11.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hurco Companies Inc grew +0.9 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -11.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hurco Companies Inc (-11.2 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.42 %: that much free cash flow Hurco Companies Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hurco Companies Inc it is $37.20 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $20.63. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Hurco Companies Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, HURC trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.63, fair value $37.20, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HURC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($37.20). For Hurco Companies Inc the two are $16.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hurco Companies Inc worth?
The market values Hurco Companies Inc at about $134M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $20.63; our models calculate a fair value of $37.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HURC?
Our models span a range for Hurco Companies Inc: cautious scenario $29.09, base $37.20, optimistic $48.04 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $20.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of HURC?
The PEG ratio of Hurco Companies Inc is 0.51 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hurco Companies Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −3.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HURC from its 52-week high?
Hurco Companies Inc trades at $20.63, about 12% below its 52-week high of $23.32 and 41% above the low of $14.68 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $37.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hurco Companies Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hurco Companies Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $20.63, calculated fair value $37.20 (+80%), Quality Score 60/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HURC calculated?
We run Hurco Companies Inc through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $37.20 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hurco Companies Inc currently trades 45% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $20.63. Our model-based fair value is $37.20, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hurco Companies Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($29.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Hurco Companies Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The market capitalisation of Hurco Companies Inc is $134M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hurco Companies Inc is 0.75 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Earnings per share at Hurco Companies Inc are $−1.02. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The net margin of Hurco Companies Inc is −3.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hurco Companies Inc is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hurco Companies Inc is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
The operating margin of Hurco Companies Inc is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Revenue at Hurco Companies Inc is growing +3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hurco Companies Inc (HURC)?
Earnings per share at Hurco Companies Inc are growing +68.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hurco Companies Inc (HURC) hold?
Hurco Companies Inc holds more cash than debt, $36.8M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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