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Horizon Oil Limited (HZN) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · AU · Market cap A$358M

HO Horizon Oil Limited HZN · AU
PriceA$0.2100
Fair ValueA$0.1100
Upside-47.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.0800 – A$0.1300

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from A$0.2600 to A$0.1100 (−57.7%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.2823 A$0.1754 Fair Value A$0.1100 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.1754 – A$0.2823 · fair‑value band A$0.0800 – A$0.1300 · the A$0.2100 price screens above the A$0.1100 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Horizon Oil Limited (HZN) currently trades at A$0.2100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1100 — implying the stock looks roughly 47.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Horizon Oil Limited generated revenue of A$94.1M at a net margin of 8.5%. Revenue declined 20.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$14.1M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$94.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) -20.1%
Net margin 8.5%
Return on equity 12.8%
Free cash flow A$20.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.0
More key figures
Operating margin 11.0%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
Dividend yield 9.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -65.0%
Net cash A$14.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Horizon Oil Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas properties in China, New Zealand, Australia, and Thailand. It also involved in the exploration and evaluation of hydrocarbons. Horizon Oil Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Horizon Oil Limited reported revenue of A$104M in FY2025 versus A$70.6M in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$12.2M in FY2025, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 A$70.6M
FY22 A$113M
FY23 A$151M
FY24 A$112M
FY25 A$104M
Net income +11.2%/yr
FY21 A$8.0M
FY22 A$24.3M
FY23 A$43.9M
FY24 A$25.9M
FY25 A$12.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥30.54 ¥28.25 -7%
COP COP $109.70 $91.79 -16%
COPH34 COPH34 R$51.65 R$38.40 -26%
YCP YCP €97.08 €68.99 -29%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.21 $70.51 +49%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $140.28 $106.89 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Horizon Oil Limited (HZN) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1100 versus a price of A$0.2100 — about −48% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HZN?
Our 21-model fair value for Horizon Oil Limited is A$0.1100 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.2100.
What is the quality score of HZN?
Horizon Oil Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Horizon Oil Limited (HZN)?
Horizon Oil Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$94.1M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HZN?
The net profit margin of Horizon Oil Limited is about 8.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Horizon Oil Limited pay a dividend?
Horizon Oil Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.09% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.