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Hazer Group (HZRGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Hazer Group $0.04, price $0.18, upside -77.8%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Hazer Group
HZRGF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.0400 · Strongly overvalued (−77.8%)
!Quality 24/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −15.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -89.0% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0125 – $1.35 · fair‑value band $0.0200 – $0.0400 · the $0.1800 price screens above the $0.0400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology. The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst.
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Hazer Group Limited operates as a clean technology development company in Australia. It commercializes the Hazer Process, a low emission hydrogen and graphite production process technology. The company enables the conversion of natural gas and similar feedstocks into hydrogen and graphite using iron ore as a process catalyst. It serves the industrial hydrogen, hydrogen mobility, and synthetic graphite markets. Hazer Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Hazer Group (HZRGF) currently trades at $0.1800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0400, 77.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0200 (bear) to $0.0400 (bull), the price of $0.1800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Hazer Group reported revenue of A$614K in FY2025 versus A$2.3M in FY2021, a compound −28.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$7.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $67.2M · P/S ratio 9.25 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −89.0% · Return on equity −60.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −66.3% · Operating margin −415%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −78%, HZRGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0200
Fair Value $0.0400
Bull $0.0400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0400
50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0400
50
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
24/100
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Profitability
1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−81.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−231.5% (2020) → −2,515.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Compare Hazer Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 341 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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|---|---|---|---|
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥22.33 | ¥40.44 | +81% |
| Dow Inc DOW | $27.59 | $20.98 | −24% |
| Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 | ¥16.15 | ¥43.28 | +168% |
| Zangge Mining Company 000408 | ¥71.46 | ¥78.61 | +10% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 252,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +133% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥33.97 | ¥19.25 | −43% |
| Jiangsu Eastern Shenghong Co 000301 | ¥13.36 | ¥3.06 | −77% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 67.00 TWD | 17.68 TWD | −74% |
| Syensqo SA SYENS | €78.20 | €32.87 | −58% |
| PETRONAS Chemicals Group 5183 | 4.49 MYR | 1.51 MYR | −66% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hazer Group (HZRGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0400 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1800, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HZRGF?
Our model-based fair value for Hazer Group is $0.0400 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.1800.
What is the quality score of HZRGF?
Hazer Group has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0400 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0200, optimistic scenario $0.0400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hazer Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0400, about −78% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0200, optimistic scenario $0.0400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Hazer Group pay a dividend?
Hazer Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hazer Group it is $0.0400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1800. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hazer Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HZRGF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1800, fair value $0.0400, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HZRGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0400). For Hazer Group the two are $0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hazer Group worth?
The market values Hazer Group at about $67.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1800; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HZRGF?
Our models span a range for Hazer Group: cautious scenario $0.0200, base $0.0400, optimistic $0.0400 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hazer Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −60.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HZRGF from its 52-week high?
Hazer Group trades at $0.1800, about 49% below its 52-week high of $0.3500 and at the low of $0.1800 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hazer Group?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, Hengli Petrochemical Co, Zangge Mining Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hazer Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1800, calculated fair value $0.0400 (−78%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HZRGF calculated?
We run Hazer Group through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hazer Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.1800. Our model-based fair value is $0.0400, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hazer Group right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (24/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0200 to $0.0400) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Hazer Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The market capitalisation of Hazer Group is $67.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hazer Group is 9.25 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
Earnings per share at Hazer Group are $−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The dividend yield of Hazer Group is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The net margin of Hazer Group is −89.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hazer Group is −60.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hazer Group is −66.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
The operating margin of Hazer Group is −415% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hazer Group (HZRGF)?
Revenue at Hazer Group is growing −40.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hazer Group (HZRGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Hazer Group is −A$6.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hazer Group (HZRGF) hold?
Hazer Group holds more cash than debt, A$12.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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