Intercos S.p.A (ICOS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IT · Market cap €1.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €12.68 to €11.15 (−12.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€6.83 to €13.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range €9.29 – €16.31 · fair‑value band €6.83 – €13.93 · the €13.94 price screens above the €11.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Intercos S.p.A (ICOS) currently trades at €13.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €11.15, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Intercos S.p.A generated revenue of €1.0B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue declined 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at €57.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €6.83 (bear case) to €13.93 (bull case); at €13.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -20%, ICOS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€24.30) versus Dividend Discount (€2.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Intercos S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and markets cosmetics and skin care products worldwide. The company operates through Make Up, Skincare, and Hair & Body segments. It offers powders, foundation, lipsticks, mascara, nail polish, delivery systems, creams, serums, dermo cosmetic lotions, and hair care products.
Full company description
Intercos S.p.A., together with its subsidiaries, creates, produces, and markets cosmetics and skin care products worldwide. The company operates through Make Up, Skincare, and Hair & Body segments. It offers powders, foundation, lipsticks, mascara, nail polish, delivery systems, creams, serums, dermo cosmetic lotions, and hair care products. The company sells its products to multinational brands, emerging brands, and retailers. Intercos S.p.A. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Agrate Brianza, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Intercos S.p.A reported revenue of €1.0B in FY2025 versus €43.2M in FY2021, a compound +121.9%/yr. Reported net income was €49.8M in FY2025, compounding +26.2%/yr from FY2021.
ICOS screens 20% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →
Peer Group
Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Procter & Gamble Company PG | $146.80 | $108.16 | -26% |
| Unilever PLC ULN | 1,080 MXN | 1,273 MXN | +18% |
| Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR | ₹2,144 | ₹1,000 | -53% |
| Essity AB ESSITYA | kr 279.00 | kr 250.02 | -10% |
| Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP | ₹1,088 | ₹367.64 | -66% |
| Marico Limited MARICO | ₹846.75 | ₹233.05 | -72% |
| APR Co 278470 | 375,000 KRW | 151,222 KRW | -60% |
| Dabur India Limited DABUR | ₹429.45 | ₹181.60 | -58% |
| Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA | 38.07 MXN | 50.09 MXN | +32% |
| PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR | 1,730 IDR | 1,934 IDR | +12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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