Idp Education Ltd (IEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Idp Education Ltd A$3.52, price A$2.02, upside +74.3%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.49 – A$36.90 · fair‑value band A$2.51 – A$4.40 · the A$2.02 price screens below the A$3.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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IDP Education Limited engages in the placement of students into education institutions in Australia, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, New Zealand, and Ireland.
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IDP Education Limited engages in the placement of students into education institutions in Australia, the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, New Zealand, and Ireland. Its services include counselling, application processing, pre-departure guidance, student placement and examinations, English language teaching, client relation, online students recruitment, as well as shared services. The company is also involved in the distribution and administration of International English Language Testing System tests for study, work, and migration purposes. In addition, it operates English language schools; and provides digital marketing, event, consultancy, and data services, as well as peer to peer software services. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Docklands, Australia.
Stock analysis
Idp Education Ltd (IEL) currently trades at A$2.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.52, implying the stock looks roughly 42.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of A$4.09 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$2.02 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$1.28, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$2.51 (bear) to A$4.40 (bull), the price of A$2.02 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Idp Education Ltd reported revenue of A$882M in FY2025 versus A$526M in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$44.5M in FY2025, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$617M (≈ $428M) · P/E ratio 67.3 · P/S ratio 3.40 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0300 · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 5.0% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 38% fair-value upside, at 74%, IEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$2.51Fair Value A$3.52Bull A$4.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9.4% vs 2.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.1% a year for the price and −5.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 125 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+74.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)11.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.54× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Idp Education Ltd (IEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$3.52 versus a price of A$2.02, about +74% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IEL?
Our model-based fair value for Idp Education Ltd is A$3.52 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.02.
What is the quality score of IEL?
Idp Education Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$3.52 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.51, optimistic scenario A$4.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Idp Education Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$3.52, about +74% upside versus a price of A$2.02 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$2.51, optimistic scenario A$4.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Idp Education Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$860M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Idp Education Ltd pay a dividend?
Idp Education Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Idp Education Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -1.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IEL use?
Our models discount Idp Education Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Idp Education Ltd that is -1.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Idp Education Ltd (IEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Idp Education Ltd grew +8.6 % a year. The price currently implies -1.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Idp Education Ltd (IEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Idp Education Ltd (-1.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.71 %: that much free cash flow Idp Education Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Idp Education Ltd it is A$3.52 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$2.02. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Idp Education Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, IEL trades below its calculated fair value: price A$2.02, fair value A$3.52, a gap of about +74% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$3.52). For Idp Education Ltd the two are A$1.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Idp Education Ltd worth?
The market values Idp Education Ltd at about A$617M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$2.02; our models calculate a fair value of A$3.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IEL?
Our models span a range for Idp Education Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.51, base A$3.52, optimistic A$4.40 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$2.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IEL?
Idp Education Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 67.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$3.52 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Idp Education Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.54 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IEL from its 52-week high?
Idp Education Ltd trades at A$2.02, about 70% below its 52-week high of A$6.63 and 36% above the low of A$1.49 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$3.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Idp Education Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Covista Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Idp Education Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$2.02, calculated fair value A$3.52 (+74%), Quality Score 49/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IEL calculated?
We run Idp Education Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$3.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Idp Education Ltd currently trades 43 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was A$2.02. Our model-based fair value is A$3.52, about +74% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Idp Education Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$2.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Idp Education Ltd (IEL) come from?
Earnings per share at Idp Education Ltd grew +12.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.2 %, EBIT margin +3.0 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Idp Education Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The market capitalisation of Idp Education Ltd is A$617M (≈ $428M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Idp Education Ltd is 3.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Earnings per share at Idp Education Ltd are A$0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 67.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The dividend yield of Idp Education Ltd is 4.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The net margin of Idp Education Ltd is 5.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Idp Education Ltd is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Idp Education Ltd is 13.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
The operating margin of Idp Education Ltd is 11.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Revenue at Idp Education Ltd is growing −4.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Idp Education Ltd (IEL)?
Earnings per share at Idp Education Ltd are growing −65.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Idp Education Ltd (IEL) carry?
The net debt of Idp Education Ltd is A$273M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 27, 2026