Infratil Ltd (IFT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Infratil Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$6.24 – A$13.10 · fair‑value band A$7.69 – A$14.70 · the A$11.27 price screens below the A$11.76 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Infratil Limited is an infrastructure investment firm specializing in digital Infrastructure, renewables, and social infrastructure. They prefer to invest in renewable electricity, data centers, telecommunications networks healthcare, and airports. It invests around the world. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Wellington, New Zealand.
Stock analysis
Infratil Ltd (IFT) currently trades at A$11.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$11.76, implying the stock looks roughly 4.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of A$19.40 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the A$11.27 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$2.25, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: A$7.69 (bear) to A$14.70 (bull), the price of A$11.27 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Infratil Ltd reported revenue of 3.0B NZD in FY2026 versus 1.3B NZD in FY2022, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was 554M NZD in FY2026, compounding −17.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$12.8B (≈ $9.1B) · P/E ratio 51.2 · P/S ratio 9.56 · EPS (TTM) A$0.2200 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 18.7% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 4%, IFT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$7.69Fair Value A$11.76Bull A$14.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0053 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.9%
Revenue growth 27 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+57.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−7% vs 2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 376 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.77× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Infratil Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IFT
Frequently asked questions
Is Infratil Ltd (IFT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$11.76 versus a price of A$11.27, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IFT?
Our model-based fair value for Infratil Ltd is A$11.76 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$11.27.
What is the quality score of IFT?
Infratil Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$11.76 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$7.69, optimistic scenario A$14.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Infratil Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$11.76, about +4% upside versus a price of A$11.27 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$7.69, optimistic scenario A$14.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Infratil Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Infratil Ltd pay a dividend?
Infratil Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Infratil Ltd it is A$11.76 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of A$11.27. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Infratil Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, IFT trades below its calculated fair value: price A$11.27, fair value A$11.76, a gap of about +4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFT?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$11.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$11.76). For Infratil Ltd the two are A$0.4940 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Infratil Ltd worth?
The market values Infratil Ltd at about A$12.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is A$11.27; our models calculate a fair value of A$11.76 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFT?
Our models span a range for Infratil Ltd: cautious scenario A$7.69, base A$11.76, optimistic A$14.70 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price A$11.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IFT?
Infratil Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 51.2 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$11.76 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.7, P/B 1.2, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 13.7.
What is the PEG ratio of IFT?
The PEG ratio of Infratil Ltd is 3.70 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Infratil Ltd (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 3.5%, debt of 0.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFT from its 52-week high?
Infratil Ltd trades at A$11.27, about 16% below its 52-week high of A$13.34 and 28% above the low of A$8.78 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$11.76 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Infratil Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ITOCHU Corporation, 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Infratil Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price A$11.27, calculated fair value A$11.76 (+4%), Quality Score 29/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFT calculated?
We run Infratil Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$11.76, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Infratil Ltd currently trades 4 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was A$11.27. Our model-based fair value is A$11.76, about +4% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Infratil Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$7.69 to A$14.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Infratil Ltd (IFT) come from?
Earnings per share at Infratil Ltd grew +8.2 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.7 %, EBIT margin −8.7 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Infratil Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The market capitalisation of Infratil Ltd is A$12.8B (≈ $9.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Infratil Ltd is 9.56 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Earnings per share at Infratil Ltd are A$0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 51.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The dividend yield of Infratil Ltd is 1.9% (payout 95.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The net margin of Infratil Ltd is 18.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Infratil Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Infratil Ltd is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
The operating margin of Infratil Ltd is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Revenue at Infratil Ltd is growing −20.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Infratil Ltd (IFT)?
Earnings per share at Infratil Ltd are growing +192% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Infratil Ltd (IFT) generate?
The free cash flow of Infratil Ltd is −A$251M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Infratil Ltd (IFT) carry?
The net debt of Infratil Ltd is A$7.7B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 18, 2026