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Iktinos Hellas S.A (IKTIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GR · Market cap €41.0M

IH Iktinos Hellas S.A IKTIN · AT
Price€0.3295
Fair Value€0.1700
Upside-48.4%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -12.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/12)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range €0.0400 – €0.3000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (€0.0400 to €0.3000). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€0.9554 €0.2805 Fair Value €0.1700 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €0.2805 – €0.9554 · fair‑value band €0.0400 – €0.3000 · the €0.3295 price screens above the €0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Iktinos Hellas S.A (IKTIN) currently trades at €0.3295, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1700, implying the stock looks roughly 48.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Iktinos Hellas S.A generated revenue of €29.6M at a net margin of -12.9%. Revenue grew 41.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.5%. Net debt stands at €40.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0400 (bear case) to €0.3000 (bull case); at €0.3295, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -48%, IKTIN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA €0.3500 €0.4800 €0.6100 54
NCAV (Graham) €0.1500 €0.2000 €0.3000 50
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.1400 €0.2700 €0.4400 41
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.1400 €0.2700 €0.4400 41
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.0600 €0.1300 €0.2000 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €0.3500 €0.4800 €0.6100 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.1500 €0.2000 €0.3000 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€0.4800) versus DCF Models (€0.1300). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €29.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +41.1%
Net margin -12.9%
Return on equity -10.5%
Free cash flow €241K FY2025
Operating margin -8.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -98.8%
Net debt €40.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Iktinos Hellas S.A. Greek Marble Industry Technical and Touristic Company engages in the quarrying, processing, and trading in marbles and granites in Greece, the Euro Area, and internationally. It operates through Marble, Aeolean Energy, and Real Estate segments. The company also trades in other decorative materials.

Full company description

Iktinos Hellas S.A. Greek Marble Industry Technical and Touristic Company engages in the quarrying, processing, and trading in marbles and granites in Greece, the Euro Area, and internationally. It operates through Marble, Aeolean Energy, and Real Estate segments. The company also trades in other decorative materials. In addition, it engages in the production of electric power and real estate businesses. The company also exports its products. Iktinos Hellas S.A. Greek Marble Industry Technical and Touristic Company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Athens, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Iktinos Hellas S.A reported revenue of €29.6M in FY2025 versus €35.0M in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€3.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€29.6M
Latest YoY
−5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Revenue −4.1%/yr
FY21 €35.0M
FY22 €33.0M
FY23 €25.1M
FY24 €31.5M
FY25 €29.6M
Net income
FY21 €2.4M
FY22 −€305K
FY23 −€7.6M
FY24 −€4.4M
FY25 −€3.8M

IKTIN screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Iktinos Hellas S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IKTIN

Peer Group

Building Products & Equipment · 247 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 196.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 3
FUTURE 100 · sector 9
PAST 0 · sector 23
HEALTH 92 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $469.98 $212.34 -55%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $142.81 $45.65 -68%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $68.61 $17.35 -75%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €76.62 €101.60 +33%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 523.20 CHF 307.66 -41%
Lennox International Inc LII $543.93 $363.09 -33%
Kingspan Group KRX €87.30 €70.76 -19%
Masco Corporation MAS $78.04 $54.36 -30%
PT Impack Pratama Industri Tbk, IMPC 1,420 IDR 179.76 IDR -87%
NIBE Industrier AB NIBEB kr 36.03 kr 25.37 -30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Iktinos Hellas S.A (IKTIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1700 versus a price of €0.3295, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IKTIN?
Our model-based fair value for Iktinos Hellas S.A is €0.1700 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.3295.
What is the quality score of IKTIN?
Iktinos Hellas S.A has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Iktinos Hellas S.A (IKTIN)?
Iktinos Hellas S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €29.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IKTIN?
The net profit margin of Iktinos Hellas S.A is about -12.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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