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Imperial Petroleum Inc (IMPP) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $221M

IP Imperial Petroleum Inc logo Imperial Petroleum Inc IMPP · US
Price$4.61
Fair Value$6.74
Upside+46.1%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 35.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/12)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $6.48 – $8.14 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $9.24 to $6.74 (−27.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 46% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.48). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$97.05 $1.21 Fair Value $6.74 Dec 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

56‑month range $1.21 – $97.05 · fair‑value band $6.48 – $8.14 · the $4.61 price screens below the $6.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Imperial Petroleum Inc (IMPP) currently trades at $4.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.74, implying the stock looks roughly 46.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Imperial Petroleum Inc generated revenue of $191M at a net margin of 35.0%. Revenue grew 92.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.48 (bear case) to $8.14 (bull case); at $4.61, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 46%, IMPP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $9.04 $9.46 $10.11 76
Growth DCF $19.54 $31.48 $50.12 72
Gordon GGM $0.2700 $0.4500 $0.5800 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.86 $29.19 $53.49 38
Owner Earnings $18.39 $35.99 $66.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.56 $12.94 $19.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.72 $17.30 $28.12 41
5Y P/E Exit $14.99 $29.34 $48.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit $13.64 $21.81 $24.71 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $15.09 $25.77 $42.13 37
10Y P/E Exit $17.13 $31.77 $54.33 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.52 $52.42 $73.56 54
Lynch FV $27.08 $38.69 $50.29 50
PEG = 1.0 $27.08 $38.69 $50.29 46
EPV $5.80 $6.48 $7.03 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.2700 $0.4500 $0.5800 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.2700 $0.4200 $0.4800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.61 $15.48 $19.34 63
P/S Multiple $3.20 $4.27 $5.34 58
P/B Multiple $14.09 $18.79 $23.49 55
EV/EBIT $6.75 $8.95 $11.16 53
EV/EBITDA $6.68 $8.86 $11.05 54
EV/Revenue $3.12 $4.40 $5.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.87 $7.87 $11.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.54 $31.48 $50.12 72
Rev-Margin DCF $10.32 $14.81 $24.23 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.04 $9.46 $10.11 76
ROIC Compounder $5.80 $6.48 $7.03 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.74 $45.34 $58.95 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($45.34) versus Dividend Discount ($0.4200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $191M
Revenue growth (YoY) +92.3%
Net margin 35.0%
Return on equity 13.5%
Free cash flow $79.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.1
More key figures
Operating margin 42.9%
EPS (TTM) $1.56
EPS growth (YoY) +90.0%
Net cash $5.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 94
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Imperial Petroleum Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates a fleet of seven medium range refined petroleum product tankers that carry refined petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, and jet fuel, as well as edible oils and chemicals; two suezmax tankers that …

Full company description

Imperial Petroleum Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides seaborne transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates a fleet of seven medium range refined petroleum product tankers that carry refined petroleum products, such as gasoline, diesel, fuel oil, and jet fuel, as well as edible oils and chemicals; two suezmax tankers that carry crude oil; four handysize drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers; five supramax drybulk carriers; two kamsarmax drybulk vessels; and a post panamax drybulk carrier. It serves oil producers, refineries, commodities traders and producers, and industrial users of drybulk cargoes. As of December 31, 2025, the company had twenty-one vessel fleet with capacity of approximately 1,324,000 dwt. Imperial Petroleum Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Athens, Greece.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Imperial Petroleum Inc reported revenue of $161M in FY2025 versus $17.4M in FY2021, a compound +74.5%/yr. Reported net income was $50.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$161M
Latest YoY
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.3%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.0%
Revenue +74.5%/yr
FY21 $17.4M
FY22 $97.0M
FY23 $184M
FY24 $147M
FY25 $161M
Net income
FY21 −$3.6M
FY22 $29.5M
FY23 $71.1M
FY24 $50.2M
FY25 $50.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Imperial Petroleum Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMPP

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +46% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 92% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.42× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 95 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 41
PAST 54 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 99

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Imperial Petroleum Inc (IMPP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.74 versus a price of $4.61, about +46% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IMPP?
Our model-based fair value for Imperial Petroleum Inc is $6.74 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.61.
What is the quality score of IMPP?
Imperial Petroleum Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Imperial Petroleum Inc (IMPP)?
Imperial Petroleum Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $191M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IMPP?
The net profit margin of Imperial Petroleum Inc is about 35.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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