Indonesia Energy (INDO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Indonesia Energy is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.11 – $61.50 · fair‑value band $0.1900 – $0.3600 · the $2.90 price screens above the $0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.
Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in Indonesia.
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Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in Indonesia. Its principal assets include the Kruh Block, a producing block covering an area of 258.1 square kilometers located in the Pali, South Sumatra; and the Citarum Block, an exploration block covering approximately an area of 3,924.67 square kilometers located in the onshore of West Java. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Indonesia Energy (INDO) currently trades at $2.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 900.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.1900 (bear) to $0.3600 (bull), the price of $2.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Indonesia Energy reported revenue of $2.0M in FY2025 versus $2.5M in FY2021, a compound −4.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $48.5M · P/S ratio 24.1 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3600 · Net margin −253% · Return on equity −27.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −28.7% · Operating margin −229% · Revenue (TTM) $2.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −90%, INDO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1900Fair Value $0.2900Bull $0.3600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.6/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−367.0% (2020) → −268.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 298 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Below median
Fair Value upside−91% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)22.78× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 9
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 87
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 71
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Indonesia Energy Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INDO.US
Frequently asked questions
Is Indonesia Energy (INDO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2900 versus a price of $2.90, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INDO?
Our model-based fair value for Indonesia Energy is $0.2900 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.90.
What is the quality score of INDO?
Indonesia Energy has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2900 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indonesia Energy stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2900, about −90% upside versus a price of $2.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.1900, optimistic scenario $0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
Indonesia Energy reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indonesia Energy it is $0.2900 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $2.90. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indonesia Energy stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, INDO trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.90, fair value $0.2900, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of INDO?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2900). For Indonesia Energy the two are $2.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indonesia Energy worth?
The market values Indonesia Energy at about $48.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $2.90; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about INDO?
Our models span a range for Indonesia Energy: cautious scenario $0.1900, base $0.2900, optimistic $0.3600 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $2.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indonesia Energy (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity −27.0%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is INDO from its 52-week high?
Indonesia Energy trades at $2.90, about 66% below its 52-week high of $8.50 and 19% above the low of $2.44 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indonesia Energy?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indonesia Energy stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $2.90, calculated fair value $0.2900 (−90%), Quality Score 38/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of INDO calculated?
We run Indonesia Energy through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Indonesia Energy itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
The closing price on Sep 16, 2026 was $2.90. Our model-based fair value is $0.2900, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indonesia Energy right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.1900 to $0.3600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Indonesia Energy
How large is the market capitalisation of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
The market capitalisation of Indonesia Energy is $48.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indonesia Energy is 24.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
Earnings per share at Indonesia Energy are $−0.3600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
The net margin of Indonesia Energy is −253% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indonesia Energy is −27.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indonesia Energy is −28.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
The operating margin of Indonesia Energy is −229% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Indonesia Energy (INDO)?
Revenue at Indonesia Energy is growing −23.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −21.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Indonesia Energy (INDO) generate?
The free cash flow of Indonesia Energy is −$5.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Indonesia Energy (INDO) hold?
Indonesia Energy holds more cash than debt, $4.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 17, 2026