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Indo Thai Securities Limited (INDOTHAI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹32.0B

IT Indo Thai Securities Limited INDOTHAI · NSE
Price₹77.08
Fair Value₹19.60
Upside-74.6%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 65.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.09% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range ₹14.70 – ₹55.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −64.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹55.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (₹14.70 to ₹55.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹460.40 ₹4.83 Fair Value ₹19.60 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹4.83 – ₹460.40 · fair‑value band ₹14.70 – ₹55.69 · the ₹77.08 price screens above the ₹19.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Indo Thai Securities Limited (INDOTHAI) currently trades at ₹77.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹19.60, implying the stock looks roughly 74.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Indo Thai Securities Limited generated revenue of ₹1.0B at a net margin of 65.1%. It earns a return on equity of 28.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹1.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 47.1 (as of Jul 3, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹14.70 (bear case) to ₹55.69 (bull case); at ₹77.08, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -75%, INDOTHAI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹0.4500 to ₹75.92). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹11.62 ₹17.19 ₹138.53 76
Gordon GGM ₹0.2600 ₹0.5400 ₹0.8500 70
P/E Multiple ₹15.61 ₹20.81 ₹26.02 63
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹27.22 ₹58.78 ₹125.01 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹10.89 ₹75.92 ₹106.54 54
Lynch FV ₹39.22 ₹56.03 ₹72.84 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.2600 ₹0.5400 ₹0.8500 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.2600 ₹0.4500 ₹0.5700 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹15.61 ₹20.81 ₹26.02 63
P/B Multiple ₹7.19 ₹9.59 ₹11.98 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹3.42 ₹4.59 ₹6.85 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹11.62 ₹17.19 ₹138.53 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹58.78) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.4500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1,880%
Net margin 65.1%
Return on equity 28.3%
Free cash flow −₹215M FY2026
P/E ratio 47.1 as of Jul 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 84.3%
EPS (TTM) ₹5.27
Dividend yield 0.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +1,400%
Net cash ₹1.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 94
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Indo Thai Securities Limited engages in the stock and share broking, depository participants, and other related ancillary businesses in India. The company operates through Brokering, Commission & Related Activities; Real Estate Business; and Environmental Technology segments.

Full company description

Indo Thai Securities Limited engages in the stock and share broking, depository participants, and other related ancillary businesses in India. The company operates through Brokering, Commission & Related Activities; Real Estate Business; and Environmental Technology segments. It is involved in the trading of equities and derivatives, commodities derivatives, and currency derivatives; purchase and sale of properties; development of land; real estate rental business; and provision of mutual fund, depository, initial public offering, algorithmic trading, and wealth management services, as well as bonds and fixed deposits. The company also provides life insurance products; and trading platform and mobile/desktop applications under the Winstock brand, as well as engages in the development of environmental technologies, and investment and trading of shares. It serves corporate clients, high net worth individuals, mega traders, and retail investors. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Indore, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Indo Thai Securities Limited reported revenue of ₹1.0B in FY2026 versus ₹50.6M in FY2022, a compound +113.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹664M in FY2026, compounding +60.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.0B
Latest YoY
+599.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+165.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+51.7%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.9%
Revenue +113.1%/yr
FY22 ₹50.6M
FY23 ₹55.8M
FY24 ₹240M
FY25 ₹149M
FY26 ₹1.0B
Net income +60.8%/yr
FY22 ₹99.3M
FY23 −₹64.8M
FY24 ₹160M
FY25 ₹82.5M
FY26 ₹664M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +3.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −12.6 pp

of which total revenue +3.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −15.9 pp

EBIT margin +18.7 pp
Tax rate −1.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

INDOTHAI screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Indo Thai Securities Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/INDOTHAI

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 423 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 65% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 84% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1880% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 47.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 11.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 31.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 96 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,050 KRW 18,009 KRW -53%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 118,600 KRW 52,717 KRW -56%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 200,500 KRW 189,335 KRW -6%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 28,550 KRW 22,396 KRW -22%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 93,100 KRW 75,573 KRW -19%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Indo Thai Securities Limited (INDOTHAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹19.60 versus a price of ₹77.08, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of INDOTHAI?
Our model-based fair value for Indo Thai Securities Limited is ₹19.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹77.08.
What is the quality score of INDOTHAI?
Indo Thai Securities Limited has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Indo Thai Securities Limited (INDOTHAI)?
Indo Thai Securities Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of INDOTHAI?
The net profit margin of Indo Thai Securities Limited is about 65.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 65.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Indo Thai Securities Limited pay a dividend?
Indo Thai Securities Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.09% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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