Interoil Exploration and Production ASA (IOX) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · NO · Market cap 58.4M NOK
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 23, 2026, revised from kr 3.53 to kr 0.5400 (−84.7%) since Jun 11, 2026. Share price +15.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.6700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.5700 – kr 44.50 · fair‑value band kr 0.4000 – kr 0.6700 · the kr 2.88 price screens above the kr 0.5400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Interoil Exploration and Production ASA (IOX) currently trades at kr 2.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.5400, implying the stock looks roughly 81.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 15.8M NOK. Revenue declined 27.0% year over year. Net debt stands at 32.3M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.4000 (bear case) to kr 0.6700 (bull case); at kr 2.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -81%, IOX screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Interoil Exploration and Production ASA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil exploration and production company in Argentina and Colombia. It engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of oil and natural gas properties.
Full company description
Interoil Exploration and Production ASA, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an upstream oil exploration and production company in Argentina and Colombia. It engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of oil and natural gas properties. The company's portfolio includes two producing concessions in Colombia; and one exploration and seven production concessions in Argentina. Interoil Exploration and Production ASA was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Interoil Exploration and Production ASA reported revenue of kr 9.1M in FY2025 versus kr 12.7M in FY2021, a compound −8.0%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 29.0M in FY2025.
IOX screens 81% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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