International Petroleum Corp (IPCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of International Petroleum Corp C$10.41, price C$34.75, upside -70.1%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value C$10.41 · Strongly overvalued (−70%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y +17.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers(4/12)
!Narrow moat40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$5.02 – C$39.22 · fair‑value band C$7.82 – C$13.09 · the C$34.75 price screens above the C$10.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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International Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, and produces oil and gas. The company holds a portfolio of oil and gas production assets and development projects in Canada, Malaysia, and France. International Petroleum Corporation was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Stock analysis
International Petroleum Corp (IPCO) currently trades at C$34.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.41, implying the stock looks roughly 233.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of C$5.50 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the C$34.75 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at C$3.03, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$7.82 (bear) to C$13.09 (bull), the price of C$34.75 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
International Petroleum Corp reported revenue of $772M in FY2025 versus $741M in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was $28.9M in FY2025, compounding −33.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$3.9B (≈ $2.8B) · P/E ratio 112.1 · P/S ratio 4.20 · EPS (TTM) C$0.3100 · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.2% · Operating margin 19.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −70%, IPCO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$7.82Fair Value C$10.41Bull C$13.09
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.2268 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−15.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.2% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs −8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−25% → 12%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Above median
Fair Value upside−70% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.52× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)112.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B2.98× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)4.09× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.7× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)11· sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)74· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 73
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is International Petroleum Corp (IPCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$10.41 versus a price of C$34.75, about −70% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IPCO?
Our model-based fair value for International Petroleum Corp is C$10.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$34.75.
What is the quality score of IPCO?
International Petroleum Corp has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$10.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$7.82, optimistic scenario C$13.09. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the International Petroleum Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$10.41, about −70% upside versus a price of C$34.75 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$7.82, optimistic scenario C$13.09. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
International Petroleum Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $676M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For International Petroleum Corp it is C$10.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of C$34.75. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is International Petroleum Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IPCO trades above its calculated fair value: price C$34.75, fair value C$10.41, a gap of about −70% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IPCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$34.75); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$10.41). For International Petroleum Corp the two are C$24.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is International Petroleum Corp worth?
The market values International Petroleum Corp at about C$3.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is C$34.75; our models calculate a fair value of C$10.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IPCO?
Our models span a range for International Petroleum Corp: cautious scenario C$7.82, base C$10.41, optimistic C$13.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price C$34.75). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IPCO?
International Petroleum Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 112.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$10.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 13.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for International Petroleum Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.9%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IPCO from its 52-week high?
International Petroleum Corp trades at C$34.75, about 11% below its 52-week high of C$39.22 and 65% above the low of C$21.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$10.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to International Petroleum Corp?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is International Petroleum Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price C$34.75, calculated fair value C$10.41 (−70%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IPCO calculated?
We run International Petroleum Corp through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$10.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. International Petroleum Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$34.75. Our model-based fair value is C$10.41, about −70% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with International Petroleum Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$13.09). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of International Petroleum Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
The market capitalisation of International Petroleum Corp is C$3.9B (≈ $2.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of International Petroleum Corp is 4.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
Earnings per share at International Petroleum Corp are C$0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 112.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
The net margin of International Petroleum Corp is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of International Petroleum Corp is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of International Petroleum Corp is 17.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
The operating margin of International Petroleum Corp is 19.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
Revenue at International Petroleum Corp is growing −3.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at International Petroleum Corp (IPCO)?
Earnings per share at International Petroleum Corp are growing −15.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does International Petroleum Corp (IPCO) generate?
The free cash flow of International Petroleum Corp is −$152M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does International Petroleum Corp (IPCO) carry?
The net debt of International Petroleum Corp is $480M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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