Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Consumer Cyclical · ID · Market cap 683B IDR (≈ $68.3M) · ISIN ID1000115900
At a glance
ISIndopoly Swakarsa Industry TbkIPOL · JK
Price117.00 IDR
Fair Value285.44 IDR
Upside+144.0%
Quality51/100
A solid business, trading 59% below our fair value of 285.44 IDR.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 285.44 IDR per share against a price of 117.00 IDR, so the fair value sits 144% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange 234.20 IDR to 285.44 IDR
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from 0.0200 IDR to 285.44 IDR (+1,427,100.0%) since Aug 16, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case (234.20 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 100.00 IDR – 185.44 IDR · fair‑value band 234.20 IDR – 285.44 IDR · the 117.00 IDR price screens below the 285.44 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) currently trades at 117.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 285.44 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 59.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 570.88 IDR per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the 117.00 IDR price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 285.44 IDR, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk generated revenue of $250M at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.7%. Net debt stands at $149M. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: 234.20 IDR (bear) to 285.44 IDR (bull), the price of 117.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 144%, IPOL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.13 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence570.88 IDR570.88 IDR285.44 IDR76
EPVn/a285.44 IDR285.44 IDR70
ROIC Compoundern/a285.44 IDR285.44 IDR69
All 7 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPVn/a285.44 IDR285.44 IDR70
Multiples
EV/EBIT285.44 IDR285.44 IDR570.88 IDR63
EV/EBITDA570.88 IDR856.32 IDR1,142 IDR66
EV/Revenuen/a285.44 IDR570.88 IDR46
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)285.44 IDR570.88 IDR856.32 IDR52
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence570.88 IDR570.88 IDR285.44 IDR76
ROIC Compoundern/a285.44 IDR285.44 IDR69
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (570.88 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (285.44 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio38.2
P/S ratio0.17P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)3.06 IDRprice ÷ EPS = P/E 38.2
Net margin0.4%FY2025
Return on equity0.7%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)3.2%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin3.7%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$250MTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+15.8%3y avg +1.6%
EPS growth (YoY)+3.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$1.9MFY2025
Net debt$149MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality51/100
Of which business quality 50
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a flexible-packaging manufacturing company in Indonesia, China, Singapore, and the United States. It offers plain, heatsealable, matte, white, metallized, and thermal films, as well as other specialty products. The company also manufactures biaxially oriented polypropylene films.
Full company description
PT Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a flexible-packaging manufacturing company in Indonesia, China, Singapore, and the United States. It offers plain, heatsealable, matte, white, metallized, and thermal films, as well as other specialty products. The company also manufactures biaxially oriented polypropylene films. In addition, it engages in the investment business. The company serves food and beverage, household and personal care, cigarette, label, graphic, industrial, and other industries. PT Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk reported revenue of $239M in FY2025 versus $239M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding −41.4%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$239M
Latest YoY
+12.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−36.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−33.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−33.3%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −33.3% vs 10Y −12.0%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8.5% (2020) → 3.9% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop97% (2023) · in USD
Revenue−0.1%/yr
FY21$239M
FY22$228M
FY23$194M
FY24$212M
FY25$239M
Net income−41.4%/yr
FY21$8.8M
FY22$3.2M
FY23$286K
FY24$1.1M
FY25$1.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)−16.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share+0.3 %
of which total revenue +0.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
EBIT margin−6.6 %
Tax rate−0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−10.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 12
FUTURE79· sector 4
PAST3· sector 22
HEALTH78· sector 93
DIVIDEND0· sector 43
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 285.44 IDR versus a price of 117.00 IDR, about +144% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IPOL?
Our model-based fair value for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 285.44 IDR (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 117.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of IPOL?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 285.44 IDR (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 234.20 IDR, optimistic scenario 285.44 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 285.44 IDR, about +144% upside versus a price of 117.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 234.20 IDR, optimistic scenario 285.44 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $250M (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IPOL?
The net profit margin of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk it is 285.44 IDR per share (as of Sep 8, 2026), against a price of 117.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 8, 2026, IPOL trades below its calculated fair value: price 117.00 IDR, fair value 285.44 IDR, a gap of about +144% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IPOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (117.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (285.44 IDR). For Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk the two are 168.44 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk worth?
The market values Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk at about 683B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 8, 2026). Per share that is 117.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 285.44 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IPOL?
Our models span a range for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk: cautious scenario 234.20 IDR, base 285.44 IDR, optimistic 285.44 IDR per share (as of Sep 8, 2026, price 117.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IPOL?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.2 (as of Sep 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 285.44 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (as of Sep 8, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IPOL from its 52-week high?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk trades at 117.00 IDR, about 34% below its 52-week high of 176.00 IDR and 21% above the low of 97.00 IDR (as of Sep 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 285.44 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor plc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 8, 2026: price 117.00 IDR, calculated fair value 285.44 IDR (+144%), Quality Score 51/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IPOL calculated?
We run Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 285.44 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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