Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock IDR 50, price IDR 110, upside -55.0%, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 100.00 IDR – 185.44 IDR · fair‑value band 37.12 IDR – 61.87 IDR · the 110.00 IDR price screens above the 49.50 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 23, 2026.
Follow Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
PT Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a flexible-packaging manufacturing company in Indonesia, China, Singapore, and the United States. It offers plain, heatsealable, matte, white, metallized, and thermal films, as well as other specialty products.
Show moreShow less
The company also manufactures biaxially oriented polypropylene films. In addition, it engages in the investment business. The company serves food and beverage, household and personal care, cigarette, label, graphic, industrial, and other industries.
PT Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) currently trades at 110.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.50 IDR, 55.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 320.29 IDR per share, and 4 of the 10 models we run sit above the 110.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 24.20 IDR, and 6 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 37.12 IDR (bear) to 61.87 IDR (bull), the price of 110.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk reported revenue of $239M in FY2025 versus $239M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0M in FY2025, compounding −41.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 709B IDR (≈ $39.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 19.1 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) 5.76 IDR · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −55%, IPOL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear37.12 IDRFair Value 49.50 IDRBull61.87 IDR
Price 110.00 IDR · Upside -55.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.69 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−36.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−33.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−33.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−33.3% vs −12.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 4%
Compare Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 256 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−55.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.5% · Below median
Return on assets0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)25.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.43× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)19.1× · Pricier than median
P/B0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.2× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 42
PAST (return on equity)6· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)78· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IPOL
Frequently asked questions
Is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 49.50 IDR versus a price of 110.00 IDR, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IPOL?
Our model-based fair value for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 49.50 IDR (as of Oct 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 110.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of IPOL?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 49.50 IDR (as of Oct 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 37.12 IDR, optimistic scenario 61.87 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 49.50 IDR, about −55% upside versus a price of 110.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 37.12 IDR, optimistic scenario 61.87 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $266M (latest available figure, as of Oct 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk it is 49.50 IDR per share (as of Oct 23, 2026), against a price of 110.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 23, 2026, IPOL trades above its calculated fair value: price 110.00 IDR, fair value 49.50 IDR, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IPOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (110.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (49.50 IDR). For Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk the two are 60.50 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk worth?
The market values Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk at about 709B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 23, 2026). Per share that is 110.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 49.50 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IPOL?
Our models span a range for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk: cautious scenario 37.12 IDR, base 49.50 IDR, optimistic 61.87 IDR per share (as of Oct 23, 2026, price 110.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IPOL?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.1 (as of Oct 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 49.50 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 3.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (as of Oct 23, 2026): return on equity 1.5%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IPOL from its 52-week high?
Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk trades at 110.00 IDR, about 21% below its 52-week high of 139.00 IDR and 10% above the low of 100.00 IDR (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 49.50 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 23, 2026: price 110.00 IDR, calculated fair value 49.50 IDR (−55%), Quality Score 51/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IPOL calculated?
We run Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 49.50 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was 110.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 49.50 IDR, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (61.87 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) come from?
Earnings per share at Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk grew −16.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.3 %, EBIT margin −6.6 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −10.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
The market capitalisation of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 709B IDR (≈ $39.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 0.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Earnings per share at Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk are 5.76 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
The net margin of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
The operating margin of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Revenue at Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is growing +25.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL)?
Earnings per share at Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk are growing +589% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) generate?
The free cash flow of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is −$1.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk (IPOL) carry?
The net debt of Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk is $149M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk in the live analysis
One click puts Indopoly Swakarsa Industry Tbk on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 23, 2026