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IP Strategy Holdings (IPST) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.6M

IS IP Strategy Holdings logo IP Strategy Holdings IPST · US
Price$7.39
Fair Value$1.90
Upside-74.2%
Quality18/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.42 – $2.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price +193.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 74% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.42 to $2.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

$1,456 $1.91 Fair Value $1.90 Nov 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range $1.91 – $1,456 · fair‑value band $1.42 – $2.84 · the $7.39 price screens above the $1.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

IP Strategy Holdings (IPST) currently trades at $7.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.90, implying the stock looks roughly 74.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $10.5M. Revenue grew 60.7% year over year. Net debt stands at $4.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.42 (bear case) to $2.84 (bull case); at $7.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -74%, IPST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $68.06 $91.20 $136.11 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $68.06 $91.20 $136.11 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $10.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +60.7%
Return on equity -1,256%
Free cash flow −$15.4M FY2025
Operating margin -113%
EPS (TTM) $-314.46
More key figures
Net debt $4.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 18/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

IP Strategy Holdings, Inc. operates as a diversified business centered on digital asset"based infrastructure and intellectual property ("IP") management, supplemented by a legacy craft spirit. The company operates through Crypto and Related Business and Spirits Business segments.

Full company description

IP Strategy Holdings, Inc. operates as a diversified business centered on digital asset"based infrastructure and intellectual property ("IP") management, supplemented by a legacy craft spirit. The company operates through Crypto and Related Business and Spirits Business segments. The company's treasury reserve of IP tokens provides direct participation in the Story blockchain ecosystem, which enables on-chain registration, licensing, and monetization of intellectual property. The company was formerly known as Heritage Distilling Holding Company, Inc. and change its name to IP Strategy Holdings, Inc. in February 2026. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Gig Harbor, Washington.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IP Strategy Holdings reported revenue of $10.1M in FY2025 versus $8.3M in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$138M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 27/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.1M
Latest YoY
+20.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY21 $8.3M
FY22 $8.3M
FY23 $8.0M
FY24 $8.4M
FY25 $10.1M
Net income
FY21 −$7.2M
FY22 −$12.3M
FY23 −$36.8M
FY24 $710K
FY25 −$138M

IPST screens 74% overvalued. Compare with Mirae Asset Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IP Strategy Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IPST

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 425 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -21% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -113% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 61% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 96
PAST 0 · sector 31
HEALTH 100 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

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Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 299,000 KRW 214,812 KRW -28%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 25,300 VND 17,375 VND -31%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 294.30 ARS -6%
Daishin Securities Co 003540 26,950 KRW 48,790 KRW +81%
SK Securities Co 001515 4,285 KRW 1,395 KRW -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IP Strategy Holdings (IPST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.90 versus a price of $7.39, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IPST?
Our model-based fair value for IP Strategy Holdings is $1.90 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.39.
What is the quality score of IPST?
IP Strategy Holdings has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of IP Strategy Holdings (IPST)?
IP Strategy Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IPST?
The net profit margin of IP Strategy Holdings is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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