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Icelandic Salmon AS, (ISLAX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · NO · Market cap 1.9B NOK

IS Icelandic Salmon AS, ISLAX · OL
Pricekr 60.00
Fair Valuekr 29.84
Upside-50.3%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -28.8% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/10)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 22.27 – kr 44.54 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from kr 2.70 to kr 29.84 (+1,005.2%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −3.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 44.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 22.27 to kr 44.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 187.00 kr 54.00 Fair Value kr 29.84 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 54.00 – kr 187.00 · fair‑value band kr 22.27 – kr 44.54 · the kr 60.00 price screens above the kr 29.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Icelandic Salmon AS, (ISLAX) currently trades at kr 60.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 29.84, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Icelandic Salmon AS, generated revenue of 86.1M NOK at a net margin of -28.8%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -18.1%. Net debt stands at 117M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 22.27 (bear case) to kr 44.54 (bull case); at kr 60.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -50%, ISLAX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 2.02 kr 2.70 kr 4.04 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 2.02 kr 2.70 kr 4.04 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 86.1M NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.2%
Net margin -28.8%
Return on equity -18.1%
Free cash flow −28.6M NOK FY2025
Operating margin 2.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -9.13
EPS growth (YoY) -80.6%
Net debt 117M NOK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Icelandic Salmon AS, together with its subsidiaries, engages in production, processing, and sale of salmon and salmon-based products in Europe, North America, and Asia. It is involved in the salmon farming activities. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Kverva, Norway. Icelandic Salmon AS operates as a subsidiary of SalMar ASA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Icelandic Salmon AS, reported revenue of kr 90.0M in FY2025 versus kr 90.8M in FY2021, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 24.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
90.0M NOK
Latest YoY
−11.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Revenue −0.2%/yr
FY21 kr 90.8M
FY22 kr 158M
FY23 kr 165M
FY24 kr 101M
FY25 kr 90.0M
Net income
FY21 kr 2.4M
FY22 kr 34.9M
FY23 kr 8.6M
FY24 −kr 3.1M
FY25 −kr 24.8M

ISLAX screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Icelandic Salmon AS, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ISLAX

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.97× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 17
HEALTH 52 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Icelandic Salmon AS, (ISLAX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 29.84 versus a price of kr 60.00, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ISLAX?
Our model-based fair value for Icelandic Salmon AS, is kr 29.84 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 60.00.
What is the quality score of ISLAX?
Icelandic Salmon AS, has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Icelandic Salmon AS, (ISLAX)?
Icelandic Salmon AS, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 86.1M NOK (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ISLAX?
The net profit margin of Icelandic Salmon AS, is about -28.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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