PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, (ITMG) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ID · Market cap 26.0T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 43,946 IDR to 44,257 IDR (+0.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +9.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 76% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (36,128 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4,918 IDR – 28,903 IDR · fair‑value band 36,128 IDR – 53,469 IDR · the 25,125 IDR price screens below the 44,257 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, (ITMG) currently trades at 25,125 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 44,257 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 76.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, generated revenue of 1.9B IDR at a net margin of 9.5%. Revenue grew 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 710M IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 36,128 IDR (bear case) to 53,469 IDR (bull case); at 25,125 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 76%, ITMG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (51,839 IDR) versus Asset-Based (20,101 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining and energy activities. It produces thermal coal for used in coal-fired power plants; and is involved in coal trading, fuel trading, energy marketing, and electricity generation. The company also offers mining contractor services; and solar rooftop installations.
Full company description
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining and energy activities. It produces thermal coal for used in coal-fired power plants; and is involved in coal trading, fuel trading, energy marketing, and electricity generation. The company also offers mining contractor services; and solar rooftop installations. It provides its products in China, Japan, India, Philippines, Taiwan, Bangladesh, Korea, Hong Kong, Thailand, Europe, Vietnam, and Malaysia. The company was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk is a subsidiary of Banpu Minerals (Singapore) Pte. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, reported revenue of 1.9B IDR in FY2025 versus 2.1B IDR in FY2021, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 189M IDR in FY2025, compounding −20.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥42.65 | ¥34.97 | -18% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹3,157 | ₹901.17 | -71% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥24.30 | ¥23.90 | -2% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥20.23 | ¥13.24 | -35% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹427.65 | ₹464.01 | +9% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥12.54 | ¥13.97 | +11% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥25.13 | ¥21.99 | -12% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.26 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,490 IDR | 3,220 IDR | +29% |
| PT Petrindo Jaya Kreasi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, CUAN | 630.00 IDR | 360.72 IDR | -43% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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