Javelin Minerals Limited (JAV) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$24.5M
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 47 days ago
Share price −25.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 48% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0765). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0310 – A$0.6200 · fair‑value band A$0.0765 – A$0.1275 · the A$0.0690 price screens below the A$0.1020 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.
Analysis
Javelin Minerals Limited (JAV) currently trades at A$0.0690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1020, implying the stock looks roughly 47.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$10.0K. Revenue declined 59.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$1.3M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0765 (bear case) to A$0.1275 (bull case); at A$0.0690, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 123% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 48%, JAV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Javelin Minerals Limited operates as an exploration company in Australia. It explores for gold, nickel, and copper deposits. The company holds Coogee Gold Project that covers an area of approximately 17 square kilometers located in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia; and Eureka Gold Project located in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia.
Full company description
Javelin Minerals Limited operates as an exploration company in Australia. It explores for gold, nickel, and copper deposits. The company holds Coogee Gold Project that covers an area of approximately 17 square kilometers located in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia; and Eureka Gold Project located in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Victory Mines Limited and changed its name to Javelin Minerals Limited in December 2021. Javelin Minerals Limited is based in West Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Javelin Minerals Limited reported revenue of A$40.0K in FY2025 versus A$6.6K in FY2021, a compound +56.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.89 | $8.95 | -40% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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