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Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · US · ISIN USG508711052

JP Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC logo Thin data Sep 18, 2026

Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC

JAZZ · US

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $233.55 · Fairly valued (−3%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Insider activity 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$261.62 $97.78 Fair Value $233.55 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $97.78 – $261.62 · fair‑value band $146.29 – $320.83 · the $240.74 price screens above the $233.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc identifies, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products in the United States, Europe, and internationally.

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Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc identifies, develops, and commercializes pharmaceutical products in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company offers Xywav to treat cataplexy or excessive daytime sleepiness (EDS) with narcolepsy and idiopathic hypersomnia (IH); Epidiolex for seizures associated with Lennox-Gastaut syndrome (LGS), Dravet syndrome (DS), or tuberous sclerosis complex (TSC); Rylaze for the treatment of acute lymphoblastic leukemia or lymphoblastic lymphoma; Enrylaze to treat acute lymphoblastic leukemia and lymphoblastic lymphoma; Zepzelca for the treatment of metastatic small cell lung cancer with disease progression on or after platinum-based chemotherapy; Ziihera to treat HER2-positive biliary tract cancers; Modeyso for the treatment of diffuse midline glioma harboring an H3 K27M mutation; and Defitelio to treat severe veno-occlusive disease. It also develops Zanidatamab in Phase 3 trial to treat HER2-positive gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma (GEA) and biliary tract cancers (BTC); Dordaviprone to treat H3 K27M-mutant diffuse glioma; and Vyxeos for the treatment of newly-diagnosed therapy-related acute myeloid leukemia. In addition, the company is developing Zanidatamab to treat neoadjuvant and adjuvant breast cancer; Vyxeos for the treatment of High-risk MDS, newly diagnosed untreated patients with high-risk AML, and De novo intermediate or adverse risk AML stratified by genomics; and JZP3507 to treat pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma that are in Phase 2 clinical trials. Further, it develops JZP815 to treat Raf and Ras mutant tumors; JZP898 for the IFN INDUKIN molecule in solid tumors; and JZP047 to treat absence epilepsy that are in Phase 1 clinical trials. The company has licensing and collaboration agreements with Redx Pharma plc, Autifony Therapeutics Limited, Zymeworks Inc., Sumitomo Pharma Co., Ltd., and Werewolf Therapeutics, Inc. Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.

Stock analysis

Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ) currently trades at $240.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $233.55, implying the stock looks roughly 3.1% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $303.20 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the $240.74 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $25.12, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $146.29 (bear) to $320.83 (bull), the price of $240.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC reported revenue of $4.3B in FY2025 versus $3.1B in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$356M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $14.7B · P/S ratio 3.20 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin −8.3% · Return on equity 0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 23.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 129% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −3%, JAZZ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $146.29 Fair Value $233.55 Bull $320.83
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0726 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $264.69 $500.07 $1,135 74
EPV $51.04 $67.34 $81.60 74
Growth DCF $252.87 $561.25 $1,130 73
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $264.69 $500.07 $1,135 74
Owner Earnings $20.82 $100.13 $260.61 66
5Y Revenue Exit $119.82 $235.20 $418.52 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $205.76 $426.02 $762.34 72
10Y Revenue Exit $158.65 $303.20 $495.46 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $222.49 $458.35 $864.80 65
Earnings-Based
EPV $51.04 $67.34 $81.60 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.33 $29.79 $47.26 66
DDM Multi-Stage $14.33 $25.12 $31.26 66
Multiples
EV/EBIT $98.71 $147.19 $195.68 65
EV/EBITDA $189.43 $268.15 $346.87 67
EV/Revenue $57.07 $101.56 $146.05 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $34.37 $46.06 $68.75 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $252.87 $561.25 $1,130 73
Rev-Margin DCF $119.82 $241.33 $416.88 70
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $51.04 $67.34 $102.15 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 97
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 20 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.3%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
24.6% (2019) → 17.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+5.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.2%

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Recent news

News mood News mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 653 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.00× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.60× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 3.50× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.96× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)29 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)96 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)50 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $514.63 $566.09 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $774.11 $1,241 +60%
argenx SE ARGX $984.69 $917.18 −7%
BeOne Medicines AG 688235 ¥247.30 ¥124.62 −50%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,396,000 KRW 1,535,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$174.41 A$191.85 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $238.27 $211.88 −11%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.47 $24.22 −59%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 180,300 KRW 74,519 KRW −59%
BioNTech SE BNTX $96.69 $62.63 −35%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAZZ

Frequently asked questions

Is Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $233.55 versus a price of $240.74, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JAZZ?
Our model-based fair value for Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is $233.55 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $240.74.
What is the quality score of JAZZ?
Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $233.55 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $146.29, optimistic scenario $320.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $233.55, about −3% upside versus a price of $240.74 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $146.29, optimistic scenario $320.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC pay a dividend?
Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -1.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.5 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JAZZ use?
Our models discount Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC that is -1.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC grew +12.5 % a year. The price currently implies -1.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (-1.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.83 %: that much free cash flow Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC it is $233.55 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $240.74. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, JAZZ trades above its calculated fair value: price $240.74, fair value $233.55, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JAZZ?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($240.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($233.55). For Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC the two are $7.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC worth?
The market values Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC at about $14.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $240.74; our models calculate a fair value of $233.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JAZZ?
Our models span a range for Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC: cautious scenario $146.29, base $233.55, optimistic $320.83 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $240.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of JAZZ?
The PEG ratio of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is 0.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 0.7%, debt of 1.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JAZZ from its 52-week high?
Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC trades at $240.74, about 1% below its 52-week high of $243.32 and 129% above the low of $105.00 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $233.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, BeOne Medicines AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $240.74, calculated fair value $233.55 (−3%), Quality Score 58/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JAZZ calculated?
We run Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $233.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $240.74. Our model-based fair value is $233.55, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($146.29 to $320.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC

How large is the market capitalisation of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The market capitalisation of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is $14.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is 3.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Earnings per share at Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC are $0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The dividend yield of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The net margin of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is −8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
The operating margin of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is 23.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Revenue at Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is growing +19.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ)?
Earnings per share at Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC are growing +3.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC (JAZZ) carry?
The net debt of Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC is $4.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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