Jersey Electricity plc (JEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jersey Electricity plc £5.55, price £4.45, upside +24.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £3.55 – £5.04 · fair‑value band £4.14 – £6.95 · the £4.45 price screens below the £5.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Jersey Electricity plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the importation, generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Jersey. It operates through Energy, Building Services, Retail, Property, and Other segments.
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Jersey Electricity plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the importation, generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Jersey. It operates through Energy, Building Services, Retail, Property, and Other segments. The company offers electric boilers, smart panel heating, air source heat pumps, heat batteries, cable and wet underfloor heating, storage heaters, hot water systems, and radiator systems; domestic solar and battery storage; air conditioners; maintenance services; and electric heating finance schemes. It also provides low-carbon electric heating systems, air source heat pumps, and solar PV partnerships; amenity lighting; and electric commercial kitchens. In addition, the company offers electric cars, vans, Ebikes, electric motorbikes, and public and home charging solutions. Further, it is involved in renewable energy, network maintenance, and metering services; providing building services, such as electric heating and heat pump, street lighting, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure installation services; digital enterprise resource planning solutions, which include Jenworks billing platform; sale and maintenance of refrigeration and catering equipment; and investments in offshore wind projects, as well as consultancy services for electrical, mechanical, and public health building services design; building services infrastructure design and coordination; MEP project management and contractor oversight; and building services surveying and condition reporting. Additionally, the company operates Powerhouse and powerhouse.je, a retail shop that offers domestic electrical appliance, home computing, smart tech, mobile phone, electric transport products, and after-sales services; and leases commercial business units, private dwellings, and mobile aerial sites, as well as fibre-optics. Jersey Electricity plc was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey.
Stock analysis
Jersey Electricity plc (JEL) currently trades at £4.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.55, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £17.01 per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the £4.45 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £5.22, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £4.14 (bear) to £6.95 (bull), the price of £4.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Jersey Electricity plc reported revenue of £146M in FY2025 versus £119M in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was £11.0M in FY2025, compounding −9.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 136M GBX · P/E ratio 12.6 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) £0.3500 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 25%, JEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £4.14Fair Value £5.55Bull £6.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.1288 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.8% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1% vs 0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 10%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Electric · 159 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
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Is Jersey Electricity plc (JEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £5.55 versus a price of £4.45, about +25% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JEL?
Our model-based fair value for Jersey Electricity plc is £5.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £4.45.
What is the quality score of JEL?
Jersey Electricity plc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £5.55 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario £4.14, optimistic scenario £6.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jersey Electricity plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £5.55, about +25% upside versus a price of £4.45 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £4.14, optimistic scenario £6.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Jersey Electricity plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £147M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Jersey Electricity plc pay a dividend?
Jersey Electricity plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.92% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jersey Electricity plc it is £5.55 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £4.45. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jersey Electricity plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JEL trades below its calculated fair value: price £4.45, fair value £5.55, a gap of about +25% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£4.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£5.55). For Jersey Electricity plc the two are £1.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jersey Electricity plc worth?
The market values Jersey Electricity plc at about 136M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £4.45; our models calculate a fair value of £5.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JEL?
Our models span a range for Jersey Electricity plc: cautious scenario £4.14, base £5.55, optimistic £6.95 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £4.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JEL?
Jersey Electricity plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £5.55 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jersey Electricity plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JEL from its 52-week high?
Jersey Electricity plc trades at £4.45, about 2% below its 52-week high of £4.55 and 9% above the low of £4.08 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £5.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jersey Electricity plc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value NextEra Energy, Inc, The Southern Company, Duke Energy Corporation, American Electric Power Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jersey Electricity plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £4.45, calculated fair value £5.55 (+25%), Quality Score 52/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JEL calculated?
We run Jersey Electricity plc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £5.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jersey Electricity plc currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £4.45. Our model-based fair value is £5.55, about +25% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jersey Electricity plc right now?
Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL) come from?
Earnings per share at Jersey Electricity plc grew +2.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.4 %, EBIT margin −1.5 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Jersey Electricity plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The market capitalisation of Jersey Electricity plc is 136M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jersey Electricity plc is 0.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Earnings per share at Jersey Electricity plc are £0.3500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The dividend yield of Jersey Electricity plc is 4.9% (payout 62.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The net margin of Jersey Electricity plc is 7.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jersey Electricity plc is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jersey Electricity plc is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
The operating margin of Jersey Electricity plc is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Revenue at Jersey Electricity plc is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jersey Electricity plc (JEL)?
Earnings per share at Jersey Electricity plc are growing −3.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jersey Electricity plc (JEL) generate?
The free cash flow of Jersey Electricity plc is −3.4M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jersey Electricity plc (JEL) hold?
Jersey Electricity plc holds more cash than debt, 3.8M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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