JGC Holdings (JGCCY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $4.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −19.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($35.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.71 – $34.95 · fair‑value band $35.83 – $59.71 · the $28.01 price screens below the $47.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
JGC Holdings (JGCCY) currently trades at $28.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.77, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, JGC Holdings generated revenue of $745B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 29.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $367B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $35.83 (bear case) to $59.71 (bull case); at $28.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 71%, JGCCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($58.12) versus Asset-Based ($14.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It operates in two segments, Comprehensive Engineering, and Functional Materials Manufacturing.
Full company description
JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It operates in two segments, Comprehensive Engineering, and Functional Materials Manufacturing. The Total Engineering segment is involved in the planning, design, procurement, construction, and commissioning services of machinery, facilities and plants for petroleum, petroleum refining, petrochemicals, gas, liquefied natural gas, etc. The Functional Materials Manufacturing segment manufacture and distributes products in catalyst, nanoparticle technology, hygiene and safety, electronic materials, and high-performance ceramic, and next generation energy sectors. In addition, the company provides consulting, real estate management, and water desalination, as well as sells oil and gas. It serves in Japan, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as JGC Corporation and changed its name to JGC Holdings Corporation in October 2019. JGC Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
JGC Holdings reported revenue of $790B in FY2026 versus $428B in FY2022, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $44.4B in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,815 | ₹1,994 | -48% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 346,000 KRW | 268,779 KRW | -22% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 99,000 KRW | 63,993 KRW | -35% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,250 TWD | 925.62 TWD | -26% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 42,550 KRW | 44,840 KRW | +5% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹232.67 | ₹61.46 | -74% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 16,240 KRW | 6,507 KRW | -60% |
| NBCC (India) Limited NBCC | ₹96.32 | ₹48.22 | -50% |
| Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO | ₹1,330 | ₹730.69 | -45% |
| KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 | 92,700 KRW | 20,172 KRW | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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