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JGC Holdings (JGCCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.2B

JH JGC Holdings logo JGC Holdings JGCCY · US
Price$28.01
Fair Value$47.77
Upside+70.6%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.20% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $35.83 – $59.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −19.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($35.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$34.95 $10.71 Fair Value $47.77 May 2019 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.71 – $34.95 · fair‑value band $35.83 – $59.71 · the $28.01 price screens below the $47.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

JGC Holdings (JGCCY) currently trades at $28.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.77, implying the stock looks roughly 70.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JGC Holdings generated revenue of $745B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 29.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $367B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $35.83 (bear case) to $59.71 (bull case); at $28.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 68% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 71%, JGCCY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $56.87 $71.18 $89.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.06 $52.88 $63.64 74
ROIC Compounder $27.96 $29.83 $31.74 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $55.94 $71.47 $92.74 38
Owner Earnings $41.17 $50.51 $63.30 31
5Y Revenue Exit $43.06 $52.28 $63.32 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $46.34 $58.12 $71.05 41
5Y P/E Exit $52.38 $68.88 $85.24 38
10Y Revenue Exit $47.23 $56.29 $67.02 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $49.72 $60.15 $72.54 37
10Y P/E Exit $53.41 $67.27 $82.66 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $15.47 $36.74 $47.36 54
PEG = 1.0 $6.39 $9.12 $11.86 46
EPV $27.63 $29.01 $30.20 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $35.83 $47.77 $59.71 63
P/S Multiple $29.00 $38.67 $48.34 58
P/B Multiple $29.00 $38.67 $48.34 55
EV/EBIT $43.42 $51.59 $59.77 53
EV/EBITDA $43.64 $51.90 $60.15 54
EV/Revenue $36.39 $43.90 $51.40 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.06 $14.82 $22.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $56.87 $71.18 $89.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $43.06 $52.88 $63.64 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.28 $21.43 $32.68 61
ROIC Compounder $27.96 $29.83 $31.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $27.20 $38.86 $50.51 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($58.12) versus Asset-Based ($14.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $745B
Revenue growth (YoY) -29.7%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 10.2%
Free cash flow $71.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) $2.16
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +234%
Net cash $367B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It operates in two segments, Comprehensive Engineering, and Functional Materials Manufacturing.

Full company description

JGC Holdings Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, and construction services. It operates in two segments, Comprehensive Engineering, and Functional Materials Manufacturing. The Total Engineering segment is involved in the planning, design, procurement, construction, and commissioning services of machinery, facilities and plants for petroleum, petroleum refining, petrochemicals, gas, liquefied natural gas, etc. The Functional Materials Manufacturing segment manufacture and distributes products in catalyst, nanoparticle technology, hygiene and safety, electronic materials, and high-performance ceramic, and next generation energy sectors. In addition, the company provides consulting, real estate management, and water desalination, as well as sells oil and gas. It serves in Japan, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa, North America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as JGC Corporation and changed its name to JGC Holdings Corporation in October 2019. JGC Holdings Corporation was incorporated in 1928 and is headquartered in Yokohama, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

JGC Holdings reported revenue of $790B in FY2026 versus $428B in FY2022, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was $44.4B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$790B
Latest YoY
−7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (29Y)
+3.7%
Revenue +16.5%/yr
FY22 $428B
FY23 $607B
FY24 $833B
FY25 $858B
FY26 $790B
Net income
FY22 −$35.6B
FY23 $30.7B
FY24 −$7.8B
FY25 −$398M
FY26 $44.4B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JGC Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JGCCY

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -30% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.08× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 41 · sector 26
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JGC Holdings (JGCCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $47.77 versus a price of $28.01, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JGCCY?
Our model-based fair value for JGC Holdings is $47.77 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $28.01.
What is the quality score of JGCCY?
JGC Holdings has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JGC Holdings (JGCCY)?
JGC Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $745B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JGCCY?
The net profit margin of JGC Holdings is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JGC Holdings pay a dividend?
JGC Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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