Jupiter Energy Limited (JPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · AU · Market cap A$32.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0238). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0213 to A$0.0238), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0160 – A$0.0640 · fair‑value band A$0.0213 – A$0.0238 · the A$0.0250 price screens above the A$0.0238 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Jupiter Energy Limited (JPR) currently trades at A$0.0250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0238, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jupiter Energy Limited generated revenue of A$9.7M at a net margin of -17.9%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$3.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0213 (bear case) to A$0.0238 (bull case); at A$0.0250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -5%, JPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0900) versus DCF Models (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jupiter Energy Limited engages in the exploration, appraisal, development, and production of oil and gas properties in Kazakhstan. It holds 100% interest in Block 36, a license area consisting of three delineated oilfields covering an area of approximately 35 square kilometers located in the Mangistau Basin in South West Kazakhstan.
Full company description
Jupiter Energy Limited engages in the exploration, appraisal, development, and production of oil and gas properties in Kazakhstan. It holds 100% interest in Block 36, a license area consisting of three delineated oilfields covering an area of approximately 35 square kilometers located in the Mangistau Basin in South West Kazakhstan. The company was formerly known as Westcoast Mining Ltd. and changed its name to Jupiter Energy Limited in June 2005. Jupiter Energy Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Melbourne, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jupiter Energy Limited reported revenue of A$10.3M in FY2025 versus A$4.0M in FY2021, a compound +26.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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