James River Group (JRVR) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $183M
James River Group
JRVR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +2.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.01). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.47 – $43.47 · fair‑value band $6.01 – $10.01 · the $4.70 price screens below the $8.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
James River Group (JRVR) currently trades at $4.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.01, implying the stock looks roughly 70.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, James River Group generated revenue of $667M at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.7%. Net debt stands at $68.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.01 (bear case) to $10.01 (bull case); at $4.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at 70%, JRVR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($13.33) versus Asset-Based ($9.73). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
James River Group Holdings, Inc. provides specialty insurance services. It operates in Excess and Surplus Lines, and Specialty Admitted Insurance segments. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment offers commercial excess and surplus lines liability and excess property insurance products in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands.
Full company description
James River Group Holdings, Inc. provides specialty insurance services. It operates in Excess and Surplus Lines, and Specialty Admitted Insurance segments. The Excess and Surplus Lines segment offers commercial excess and surplus lines liability and excess property insurance products in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. This segment distributes its insurance policies primarily through wholesale insurance brokers. The Specialty Admitted Insurance segment provides insurance for fronting, program administrators, and managing general agents. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
James River Group reported revenue of $688M in FY2025 versus $609M in FY2021, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $47.4M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Insurance - Specialty · 32 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Specialty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Specialty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelity National Financial, Inc FNF | $49.53 | $29.08 | -41% |
| AXIS Capital Holdings AXS | $114.62 | $177.90 | +55% |
| First American Financial Corporation FAF | $70.06 | $79.33 | +13% |
| Enact Holdings ACT | $46.52 | $62.79 | +35% |
| MGIC Investment Corporation MTG | $29.47 | $45.39 | +54% |
| Essent Group ESNT | $66.71 | $97.33 | +46% |
| Radian Group RDN | $39.14 | $56.98 | +46% |
| Protector Forsikring ASA PROT | kr 485.80 | kr 418.04 | -14% |
| Assured Guaranty Ltd AGO | $82.49 | $147.67 | +79% |
| NMI Holdings NMIH | $41.16 | $66.55 | +62% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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