Kambi Group PLC (KAMBI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 4.3B SEK
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 61.99 to kr 61.94 (−0.1%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −4.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but trading 178% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 77.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 42.83 to kr 77.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 85.85 – kr 452.40 · fair‑value band kr 42.83 – kr 77.16 · the kr 172.00 price screens above the kr 61.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kambi Group PLC (KAMBI) currently trades at kr 172.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 61.94, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kambi Group PLC generated revenue of 164M SEK at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 27.9M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 42.83 (bear case) to kr 77.16 (bull case); at kr 172.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -64%, KAMBI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 63.69) versus Dividend Discount (kr 22.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kambi Group plc provides sports betting technology and services to the betting and gaming industry in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. The company provides Odds Feed+, Managed Trading, Sportsbook Platform, Bet Builder, Esports, and Front-End products for betting and gaming.
Full company description
Kambi Group plc provides sports betting technology and services to the betting and gaming industry in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. The company provides Odds Feed+, Managed Trading, Sportsbook Platform, Bet Builder, Esports, and Front-End products for betting and gaming. It also offers eSports subscriptions; and front end-based development platform services. Kambi Group plc was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Birkirkara, Malta.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kambi Group PLC reported revenue of kr 162M in FY2025 versus kr 162M in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was kr 6.8M in FY2025, compounding −38.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
KAMBI screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Flutter Entertainment plc →
Peer Group
Gambling · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gambling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $98.08 | $88.33 | -10% |
| Evolution AB EVO | kr 737.20 | kr 973.92 | +32% |
| The Lottery Corporation TLC | A$5.36 | A$2.99 | -44% |
| Rush Street Interactive, Inc RSI | $26.05 | $3.10 | -88% |
| Super Group SGHC | $13.95 | $9.39 | -33% |
| Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO | $89.75 | $77.19 | -14% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €24.25 | €16.45 | -32% |
| Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN | $88.53 | $88.74 | +0% |
| FDJ United FDJ | €22.33 | €20.97 | -6% |
| Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL | $11.31 | $17.61 | +56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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