Rogers Sugar Inc (RSI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CA · Market cap C$889M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −1.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 54% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (C$4.14 to C$13.19). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$3.93 – C$7.09 · fair‑value band C$4.14 – C$13.19 · the C$6.86 price screens below the C$10.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Rogers Sugar Inc (RSI) currently trades at C$6.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$10.55, implying the stock looks roughly 53.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Rogers Sugar Inc generated revenue of C$1.2B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 17.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. Net debt stands at C$379M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$4.14 (bear case) to C$13.19 (bull case); at C$6.86, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 54%, RSI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$23.00) versus Asset-Based (C$2.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Rogers Sugar Inc. engages in refining, packaging, marketing, and distribution of sugar, maple syrup, and related products in Canada, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Sugar and Maple.
Full company description
Rogers Sugar Inc. engages in refining, packaging, marketing, and distribution of sugar, maple syrup, and related products in Canada, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It operates through two segments: Sugar and Maple. The company offers white, white specialties, icing, yellow, liquid, nature raw, and brown sugar; and fine white granulated and table syrup. It also provides maple products, such as candies, spread, sugar, and flakes. It markets its products to industrial, consumer, liquid, and export product markets under the Lantic name in Eastern Canada and Rogers name in Western Canada. Rogers Sugar Inc. was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Rogers Sugar Inc reported revenue of C$1.3B in FY2025 versus C$894M in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$64.5M in FY2025, compounding +7.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- UPDATE: Rogers Sugar Announces Extention of Collective Agreement at Taber Refinery
- Rogers Sugar annonce la prolongation de la convention collective à sa raffinerie de Taber
- Rogers Sugar Announces Extention of Collective Agreement at Taber Refinery
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISN | CHF 96,500 | CHF 9,874 | -90% |
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $61.00 | $27.68 | -55% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $170.27 | $91.25 | -46% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,100 | CHF 711.91 | -35% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 127,100 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +60% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.50 | $21.81 | -45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.81 | ¥9.83 | -48% |
| Cloetta AB CLAB | kr 48.88 | kr 59.12 | +21% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹586.20 | ₹304.54 | -48% |
| PT Yupi Indo Jelly Gum Tbk YUPI | 1,320 IDR | 1,286 IDR | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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