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Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ARLUF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $24.0B

Price$41.84
Fair Value$27.19
Upside-35.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $20.08 – $48.87

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ARLUF) currently trades at $41.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.19 — implying the stock looks roughly 35.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Aristocrat Leisure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a gaming content and technology company in Australia and internationally. It operates through three segments: Aristocrat Gaming, Product Madness, and Aristocrat Interactive. The company designs, develops, assembles, distributes, sells, and services gaming content, platforms, and systems, including electronic gaming machines, casino management systems, and iLottery and free-to-play mobile games. It also offers product madness, a publisher in the social casino genre of free-to-play mobile games; aristocrat gaming, a regulated land-based gaming; and Aristocrat Interactive, a regulated online real money gaming. Aristocrat Leisure Limited was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in North Ryde, Australia.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ARLUF) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.19 versus a price of $41.84 — about −35% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ARLUF?
Our 21-model fair value for Aristocrat Leisure Limited is $27.19 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $41.84.
What is the quality score of ARLUF?
Aristocrat Leisure Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.