Allwyn AG (GRKZF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $18.6B

Analysis

Allwyn AG (GRKZF) currently trades at $15.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.75 — implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Allwyn AG engages in the operation of numerical and instant lotteries, casinos, sports and other odds betting, and other similar games in Austria, Czech Republic, Greece, Cyprus, Italy, the United Kingdom, Belgium, Germany, and the United States. It also engages in video lottery terminals, online lottery games, online instant win games, online casino, and slot gaming. In addition, the company offers mobile telecommunication services, including voice, messages, and data to retail customers, as well as phone top-up services. Further, it sells food and beverages. The company was founded in 1958 and is based in Lucerne, Switzerland.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.