Kinetic Development Group Limited (KDGLF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $8.6M
Kinetic Development Group Limited
KDGLF · US
Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from $0.0010 to $0.0015 (+50.0%) since Jul 29, 2026.
A solid business, screening 50% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0015). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $0.0010 – $0.0010 · the $0.0010 price screens below the $0.0015 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.
Analysis
Kinetic Development Group Limited (KDGLF) currently trades at $0.0010, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0015, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kinetic Development Group Limited generated revenue of $5.3B at a net margin of 16.9%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at $790M. Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026
The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -5% fair-value upside, at 50%, KDGLF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.0011) versus Asset-Based ($0.0006). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kinetic Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the extraction and sale of coal products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Real Estate and Property Management, and Other.
Full company description
Kinetic Development Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the extraction and sale of coal products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Coal Mining, Real Estate and Property Management, and Other. The company focuses on the development of its Dafanpu Coal Mine with a concession area of approximately 9.6 square kilometers located in Zhunge'er Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia, China. It engages in the coal production, trading, washing, loading, and transportation activities; sale and trading of mineral products; breeding, production, and selling of breeding stock; production and sale of wine and fruit wine; and grape planting activities. In addition, the company is involved in the development and sale of real estate; property management; trading of mineral products engineering construction; and manufacturing, wholesale, and trading of tobacco products. The company was formerly known as Kinetic Mines and Energy Limited. Kinetic Development Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Ordos City, China. Kinetic Development Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of King Lok Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kinetic Development Group Limited reported revenue of $5.3B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $896M in FY2025, compounding −22.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Thermal Coal · 99 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Thermal Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Shenhua Energy Company 601088 | ¥44.07 | ¥34.97 | -21% |
| Adani Enterprises Limited ADANIENT | ₹2,965 | ₹891.11 | -70% |
| Shaanxi Coal Industry Company 601225 | ¥25.08 | ¥23.90 | -5% |
| Yankuang Energy Group 600188 | ¥22.09 | ¥13.24 | -40% |
| Coal India Limited COALINDIA | ₹409.30 | ₹464.01 | +13% |
| China Coal Energy Company 601898 | ¥13.93 | ¥13.91 | -0% |
| Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy Corporation 002128 | ¥26.48 | ¥20.72 | -22% |
| Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co 601699 | ¥16.27 | ¥7.20 | -56% |
| PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk, ADRO | 2,520 IDR | 3,037 IDR | +21% |
| PT Adaro Andalan Indonesia Tbk AADI | 9,350 IDR | 13,935 IDR | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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