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KEFI Gold and Copper Plc (KEFI) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 144M GBX

KG KEFI Gold and Copper Plc KEFI · LSE
Price£0.0104
Fair Value£0.0085
Upside-18.3%
Quality17/100
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Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range £0.0085 – £0.0085 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 47 days ago

Share price +18.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.0085). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (17/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£0.0174 £0.0039 Fair Value £0.0085 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.0039 – £0.0174 · the £0.0104 price screens above the £0.0085 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 24, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

KEFI Gold and Copper Plc (KEFI) currently trades at £0.0104, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 18.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -8.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £8.6M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -18%, KEFI screens richer than that median.

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -8.7%
Free cash flow −15.1M GBX FY2025
Net cash 8.6M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 17/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KEFI Gold and Copper Plc engages in the exploration and development of gold and copper deposits in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Ethiopia. The company also explores for zinc and silver deposits, as well as precious and base metals. Its flagship project is the Tulu Kapi Gold project located in the Oromia Region of Western Ethiopia.

Full company description

KEFI Gold and Copper Plc engages in the exploration and development of gold and copper deposits in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Ethiopia. The company also explores for zinc and silver deposits, as well as precious and base metals. Its flagship project is the Tulu Kapi Gold project located in the Oromia Region of Western Ethiopia. The company was formerly known as Kefi Minerals Plc and changed its name to KEFI Gold and Copper Plc in August 2020. KEFI Gold and Copper Plc was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Nicosia, Cyprus.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KEFI Gold and Copper Plc reported revenue of £0 in FY2025 versus £0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −£9.7M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 £0
FY22 £0
FY23 £0
FY24 £0
FY25 £0
Net income
FY21 −£4.9M
FY22 −£6.4M
FY23 −£7.9M
FY24 −£5.2K
FY25 −£9.7M

KEFI screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KEFI Gold and Copper Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KEFI

Peer Group

Gold · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Above median
Return on assets -8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 100
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Insider activity: 25/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Newmont Corporation NEMCL $112.00 $132.73 +19%
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥28.36 ¥30.58 +8%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM C$191.93 C$154.33 -20%
Barrick Mining Corporation B $34.93 $50.66 +45%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$152.57 C$52.47 -66%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$284.75 C$97.76 -66%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $76.35 $88.63 +16%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.33 $59.06 +77%
Kinross Gold Corporation KGC $22.57 $34.62 +53%
Northern Star Resources Limited NST A$20.48 A$15.98 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KEFI Gold and Copper Plc (KEFI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0085 versus a price of £0.0104, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KEFI?
Our model-based fair value for KEFI Gold and Copper Plc is £0.0085 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.0104.
What is the quality score of KEFI?
KEFI Gold and Copper Plc has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of KEFI?
The net profit margin of KEFI Gold and Copper Plc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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