Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kingfisher PLC $18.22, price $8.73, upside +108.7%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.78 – $9.87 · fair‑value band $12.75 – $23.69 · the $8.73 price screens below the $18.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names.
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Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names. It sells its products to consumers and trade professionals through stores and e-commerce channels. Kingfisher plc was incorporated in 1982 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Kingfisher PLC ADR (KGFHY) currently trades at $8.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.22, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $32.11 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the $8.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.27, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $12.75 (bear) to $23.69 (bull), the price of $8.73 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Kingfisher PLC ADR reported revenue of £12.9B in FY2026 versus £13.2B in FY2022, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was £245M in FY2026, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.2B · P/E ratio 23.6 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) $0.3700 · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 109%, KGFHY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.75Fair Value $18.22Bull $23.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1651 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −34.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.9% a year for the price and −0.4% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Home Improvement Retail · 32 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−0.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.9% · Below median
Return on assets3.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.22 versus a price of $8.73, about +109% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KGFHY?
Our model-based fair value for Kingfisher PLC ADR is $18.22 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.73.
What is the quality score of KGFHY?
Kingfisher PLC ADR has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.22 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.75, optimistic scenario $23.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingfisher PLC ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.22, about +109% upside versus a price of $8.73 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.75, optimistic scenario $23.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Kingfisher PLC ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.9B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Kingfisher PLC ADR pay a dividend?
Kingfisher PLC ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.41% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kingfisher PLC ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +4.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.0 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KGFHY use?
Our models discount Kingfisher PLC ADR at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kingfisher PLC ADR that is +4.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kingfisher PLC ADR grew +1.0 % a year. The price currently implies +4.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kingfisher PLC ADR (+4.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.96 %: that much free cash flow Kingfisher PLC ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingfisher PLC ADR it is $18.22 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $8.73. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingfisher PLC ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, KGFHY trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.73, fair value $18.22, a gap of about +109% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KGFHY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($18.22). For Kingfisher PLC ADR the two are $9.49 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingfisher PLC ADR worth?
The market values Kingfisher PLC ADR at about $6.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $8.73; our models calculate a fair value of $18.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KGFHY?
Our models span a range for Kingfisher PLC ADR: cautious scenario $12.75, base $18.22, optimistic $23.69 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $8.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KGFHY?
Kingfisher PLC ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.6 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $18.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.8.
What is the PEG ratio of KGFHY?
The PEG ratio of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 0.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingfisher PLC ADR (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KGFHY from its 52-week high?
Kingfisher PLC ADR trades at $8.73, about 12% below its 52-week high of $9.87 and 23% above the low of $7.07 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $18.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingfisher PLC ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value The Home Depot, Inc, Lowe's Companies, Inc, Wesfarmers Limited, Floor & Decor Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingfisher PLC ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $8.73, calculated fair value $18.22 (+109%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KGFHY calculated?
We run Kingfisher PLC ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $18.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingfisher PLC ADR currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $8.73. Our model-based fair value is $18.22, about +109% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingfisher PLC ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($12.75 to $23.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kingfisher PLC ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The market capitalisation of Kingfisher PLC ADR is $6.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Earnings per share at Kingfisher PLC ADR are $0.3700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The dividend yield of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 4.4% (payout 104%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The net margin of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 1.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
The operating margin of Kingfisher PLC ADR is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Revenue at Kingfisher PLC ADR is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kingfisher PLC (KGFHY)?
Earnings per share at Kingfisher PLC ADR are growing +4.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Oct 2, 2026