Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk IDR 159, price IDR 298, upside -46.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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PT Kedaung Indah Can Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of enamel-on-steel cookware and can/tin products in Indonesia, Asia, the United States, and Africa. The company operates through two segments: Enamelware and Can. It offers stock pots, roasters, cookware sets, and storage bowls.
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PT Kedaung Indah Can Tbk engages in the manufacture and sale of enamel-on-steel cookware and can/tin products in Indonesia, Asia, the United States, and Africa. The company operates through two segments: Enamelware and Can. It offers stock pots, roasters, cookware sets, and storage bowls. The company also provides tableware products, including plates and colanders; tea kettles; and lunch and food carriers, trays, canister sets, cookie tins, kerosene stoves, mugs, and milk pans. The company also exports its products. PT Kedaung Indah Can Tbk was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Surabaya, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI) currently trades at 298.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 158.79 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 87.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 274.18 IDR per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the 298.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 41.54 IDR, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 120.01 IDR (bear) to 195.66 IDR (bull), the price of 298.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Kedaung Indah Can Tbk reported revenue of 89.1B IDR in FY2025 versus 126B IDR in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 82.2B IDR (≈ $4.6M) · P/E ratio 4.0 · P/S ratio 0.59 · EPS (TTM) 73.94 IDR · Net margin −6.6% · Return on equity −5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% · Operating margin −9.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 113% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −47%, KICI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 120.01 IDRFair Value 158.79 IDRBull 195.66 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (54.29 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.4% (2019) → −3.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +16.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 316 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kedaung Indah Can Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KICI
Frequently asked questions
Is Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 158.79 IDR versus a price of 298.00 IDR, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KICI?
Our model-based fair value for Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is 158.79 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 298.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KICI?
Kedaung Indah Can Tbk has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 158.79 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 120.01 IDR, optimistic scenario 195.66 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kedaung Indah Can Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 158.79 IDR, about −47% upside versus a price of 298.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 120.01 IDR, optimistic scenario 195.66 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
Kedaung Indah Can Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 88.2B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kedaung Indah Can Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +19.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KICI use?
Our models discount Kedaung Indah Can Tbk at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.84, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kedaung Indah Can Tbk that is +19.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kedaung Indah Can Tbk grew -0.1 % a year. The price currently implies +19.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (+19.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.59 %: that much free cash flow Kedaung Indah Can Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kedaung Indah Can Tbk it is 158.79 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 298.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kedaung Indah Can Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KICI trades above its calculated fair value: price 298.00 IDR, fair value 158.79 IDR, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KICI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (298.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (158.79 IDR). For Kedaung Indah Can Tbk the two are 139.21 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kedaung Indah Can Tbk worth?
The market values Kedaung Indah Can Tbk at about 82.2B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 298.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 158.79 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KICI?
Our models span a range for Kedaung Indah Can Tbk: cautious scenario 120.01 IDR, base 158.79 IDR, optimistic 195.66 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 298.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KICI?
Kedaung Indah Can Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 4.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 158.79 IDR is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −5.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KICI from its 52-week high?
Kedaung Indah Can Tbk trades at 298.00 IDR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 352.00 IDR and 113% above the low of 140.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 158.79 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kedaung Indah Can Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kedaung Indah Can Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 298.00 IDR, calculated fair value 158.79 IDR (−47%), Quality Score 53/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KICI calculated?
We run Kedaung Indah Can Tbk through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 158.79 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Kedaung Indah Can Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 298.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 158.79 IDR, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kedaung Indah Can Tbk right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (195.66 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The market capitalisation of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is 82.2B IDR (≈ $4.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is 0.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
Earnings per share at Kedaung Indah Can Tbk are 73.94 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 4.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The net margin of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is −6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is −5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
The operating margin of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI)?
Revenue at Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is growing −4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Kedaung Indah Can Tbk (KICI) carry?
The net debt of Kedaung Indah Can Tbk is 13.3B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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