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Keller Group (KLRGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Keller Group $58.31, price $44.14, upside +32.1%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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KG
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Keller Group
KLRGF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $58.31 · Undervalued (+32.1%)
✓Quality 68/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.6% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 54/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.00 – $45.88 · fair‑value band $40.89 – $95.04 · the $44.14 price screens below the $58.31 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Keller Group plc provides specialist geotechnical services in North America, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific.
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Keller Group plc provides specialist geotechnical services in North America, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers ground engineering solutions, including ground improvement services, grouting, deep foundations, earth retention, marine, and instrumentation and monitoring services, as well as post-tension systems and industrial services. It also provides bearing capacity/ settlement control, low carbon construction, containment, excavation support, stabilization, marine structures, seepage control, slope stabilization, and monitoring solutions. In addition, it provides environmental remediation and demolition. The company provides its services to the construction sector in commercial, industrial, infrastructure, institutional/public buildings, power, and residential markets. Keller Group plc was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Keller Group (KLRGF) currently trades at $44.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $58.31, implying the stock looks roughly 24.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $64.79 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the $44.14 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $8.31, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $40.89 (bear) to $95.04 (bull), the price of $44.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Keller Group reported revenue of £3.1B in FY2025 versus £2.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was £143M in FY2025, compounding +26.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.2B · P/E ratio 16.5 · P/S ratio 0.76 · EPS (TTM) $2.67 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 23.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 32%, KLRGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $40.89
Fair Value $58.31
Bull $95.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.49 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$42.77
$67.75
$106.04
79
Growth DCF
$43.02
$67.12
$103.43
77
Owner Earnings
$40.92
$64.79
$101.37
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$42.77
$67.75
$106.04
79
Owner Earnings
$40.92
$64.79
$101.37
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$39.77
$64.15
$95.79
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$51.92
$87.64
$130.38
74
5Y P/E Exit
$41.14
$66.81
$94.41
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$39.28
$61.82
$93.25
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$48.12
$78.04
$119.85
67
10Y P/E Exit
$41.32
$63.65
$92.18
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$18.77
$67.97
$91.67
64
Lynch FV
$16.12
$23.03
$29.93
61
PEG = 1.0
$16.12
$23.03
$29.93
57
EPV
$31.92
$36.78
$40.96
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$6.24
$12.43
$18.82
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$6.24
$10.74
$13.12
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$43.48
$57.98
$72.47
63
P/S Multiple
$35.20
$46.93
$58.67
58
P/B Multiple
$35.20
$46.93
$58.67
55
EV/EBIT
$54.97
$72.90
$90.82
66
EV/EBITDA
$63.20
$83.87
$104.54
67
EV/Revenue
$39.58
$56.03
$72.48
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$6.20
$8.31
$12.41
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$43.02
$67.12
$103.43
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$39.77
$64.02
$93.10
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$16.42
$21.35
$36.17
73
ROIC Compounder
$34.52
$43.18
$53.17
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$30.55
$43.64
$56.73
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
68/100
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Profitability
72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
92
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.0% a year
Revenue growth 34 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+30.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.27.7% vs 14.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 7%
2025 sits 65% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.4% a year for the price and +0.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.8%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 779 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quanta Services, Inc PWR | $642.51 | $162.77 | −75% |
| Vinci SA DG | €105.60 | €186.22 | +76% |
| Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX | $1,658 | $1,116 | −33% |
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LT | ₹3,876 | ₹1,994 | −49% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 367,000 KRW | 159,718 KRW | −56% |
| Ferrovial N.V FER | $55.77 | $21.74 | −61% |
| HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT | €407.40 | €203.86 | −50% |
| EMCOR Group EME | $769.03 | $525.05 | −32% |
| ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS | €95.00 | €62.20 | −35% |
| Bouygues SA EN | €43.14 | €66.31 | +54% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Keller Group (KLRGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $58.31 versus a price of $44.14, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KLRGF?
Our model-based fair value for Keller Group is $58.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $44.14.
What is the quality score of KLRGF?
Keller Group has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $58.31 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $40.89, optimistic scenario $95.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Keller Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $58.31, about +32% upside versus a price of $44.14 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $40.89, optimistic scenario $95.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Keller Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £3.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Keller Group pay a dividend?
Keller Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Keller Group (KLRGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Keller Group would have to grow free cash flow by +2.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KLRGF use?
Our models discount Keller Group at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Keller Group that is +2.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Keller Group (KLRGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Keller Group grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies +2.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Keller Group (KLRGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Keller Group (+2.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.17 %: that much free cash flow Keller Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Keller Group it is $58.31 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $44.14. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Keller Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KLRGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $44.14, fair value $58.31, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KLRGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($44.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($58.31). For Keller Group the two are $14.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Keller Group worth?
The market values Keller Group at about $3.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $44.14; our models calculate a fair value of $58.31 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KLRGF?
Our models span a range for Keller Group: cautious scenario $40.89, base $58.31, optimistic $95.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $44.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KLRGF?
Keller Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $58.31 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.9, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Keller Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 23.1%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Keller Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Keller Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $44.14, calculated fair value $58.31 (+32%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KLRGF calculated?
We run Keller Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $58.31, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Keller Group currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $44.14. Our model-based fair value is $58.31, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Keller Group right now?
Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($40.89 to $95.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Keller Group (KLRGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Keller Group grew +15.5 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin +4.2 %, tax rate +3.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Keller Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The market capitalisation of Keller Group is $3.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Keller Group is 0.76 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Earnings per share at Keller Group are $2.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The dividend yield of Keller Group is 1.6% (payout 26.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The net margin of Keller Group is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Keller Group is 23.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Keller Group is 8.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Keller Group (KLRGF)?
The operating margin of Keller Group is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Revenue at Keller Group is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Keller Group (KLRGF)?
Earnings per share at Keller Group are growing +8.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Keller Group (KLRGF) carry?
The net debt of Keller Group is £28.9M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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