Kenmare Resources plc (KMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IE · Market cap €227M
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 93% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€3.15). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range (€3.15 to €6.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.24 – €5.68 · fair‑value band €3.15 – €6.43 · the €2.48 price screens below the €4.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Kenmare Resources plc (KMR) currently trades at €2.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.79, implying the stock looks roughly 93.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kenmare Resources plc generated revenue of €329M at a net margin of -98.9%. Revenue declined 35.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.9%. Net debt stands at €156M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €3.15 (bear case) to €6.43 (bull case); at €2.48, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 93%, KMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€6.16) versus Dividend Discount (€3.02). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kenmare Resources plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of mineral sand products in China, Europe, rest of Asia, Saudi Arabia, the United States, and internationally. The company operates the Moma Titanium Minerals Mine located on the northeast coast of Mozambique.
Full company description
Kenmare Resources plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sale of mineral sand products in China, Europe, rest of Asia, Saudi Arabia, the United States, and internationally. The company operates the Moma Titanium Minerals Mine located on the northeast coast of Mozambique. Its products include ilmenite, rutile, and zircon; monazite; and concentrates, including secondary zircon, mineral sand concentrates, and ZrTi. The company was formerly known as Kenmare Oil Exploration plc and changed its name to Kenmare Resources plc in 1987. Kenmare Resources plc was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kenmare Resources plc reported revenue of €329M in FY2025 versus €456M in FY2021, a compound −7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€325M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 942.42 MXN | -34% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$164.89 | A$81.76 | -50% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 199.23 MXN | 187.72 MXN | -6% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $14.19 | $9.14 | -36% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.20 | ¥16.15 | -11% |
| Fortescue Ltd FMG | A$18.47 | A$18.62 | +1% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥74.71 | ¥9.55 | -87% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹521.95 | ₹576.80 | +11% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥39.56 | ¥10.59 | -73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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