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Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Aug 4, 2026: fair value of Komeri Co.,Ltd $28.61, price $20.29, upside +41.0%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · US

KC Komeri Co.,Ltd logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Komeri Co.,Ltd

KMRIF · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $28.61 · Undervalued (+41.0%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.9% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (10/14)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 23 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$20.29 $18.49 Fair Value $28.61 Oct 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range $18.49 – $20.29 · fair‑value band $21.41 – $39.76 · the $20.29 price screens below the $28.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Komeri Co.,Ltd. operates a chain of home improvement stores in Japan. The company's stores offer hard merchandise, such as tools, hardware, building materials, and agricultural implements; and green merchandise, including green plants and gardening/farming materials. It operates stores under the Power, Komeri PRO, Hard & Green, and Athena brand names.

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Komeri Co.,Ltd. operates a chain of home improvement stores in Japan. The company's stores offer hard merchandise, such as tools, hardware, building materials, and agricultural implements; and green merchandise, including green plants and gardening/farming materials. It operates stores under the Power, Komeri PRO, Hard & Green, and Athena brand names. The company was formerly known as Komeri Showten Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Komeri Co.,Ltd. in January 1973. Komeri Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1952 and is headquartered in Niigata, Japan.

Stock analysis

Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF) currently trades at $20.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.61, implying the stock looks roughly 29.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $40.30 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $20.29 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.95, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $21.41 (bear) to $39.76 (bull), the price of $20.29 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Komeri Co.,Ltd reported revenue of ¥379B in FY2025 versus ¥386B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥13.7B in FY2025, compounding −9.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $962M · P/E ratio 9.6 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $2.11 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 41%, KMRIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $21.41 Fair Value $28.61 Bull $39.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $7.25 $9.02 $12.16 82
Growth DCF $7.44 $9.12 $11.87 80
Owner Earnings $10.87 $13.65 $18.60 78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.25 $9.02 $12.16 82
Owner Earnings $10.87 $13.65 $18.60 78
5Y Revenue Exit $18.05 $28.39 $43.73 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.42 $39.28 $59.28 74
5Y P/E Exit $18.57 $29.28 $42.23 70
10Y Revenue Exit $12.62 $19.86 $28.10 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.79 $26.22 $36.86 68
10Y P/E Exit $13.52 $20.38 $27.26 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.59 $18.10 $21.28 67
EPV $20.10 $22.71 $24.88 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.67 $2.95 $3.30 69
DDM Multi-Stage $2.67 $3.28 $4.00 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $30.54 $40.72 $50.90 63
P/S Multiple $23.60 $31.47 $39.34 58
P/B Multiple $23.60 $31.47 $39.34 55
EV/EBIT $41.81 $55.41 $69.02 66
EV/EBITDA $43.56 $57.75 $71.94 67
EV/Revenue $28.51 $40.30 $52.09 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $16.62 $22.27 $33.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.44 $9.12 $11.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.05 $28.55 $41.35 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.77 $25.22 $26.48 76
ROIC Compounder $20.10 $22.71 $24.88 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $21.53 $30.76 $39.98 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−0.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.0% a year for the price and −0.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.3%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+1.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.5%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Home Improvement Retail · 32 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +41.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.8% · Below median
Return on assets 3.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.62× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 27.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)88 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)18 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)38 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $284.49 $236.72 −17%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $187.26 $186.20 −1%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$74.35 A$52.00 −30%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $47.06 $27.72 −41%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.29 MYR 1.47 MYR +14%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPRO 6.30 THB 6.32 THB +0%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 6.25 THB 6.88 THB +10%
Bourrelier Group ALBOU €67.40 €76.34 +13%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $27.95 $20.42 −27%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.58 THB 1.70 THB −53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.61 versus the last price from Aug 4, 2026 of $20.29, about +41% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KMRIF?
Our model-based fair value for Komeri Co.,Ltd is $28.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 4, 2026): $20.29.
What is the quality score of KMRIF?
Komeri Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $21.41, optimistic scenario $39.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Komeri Co.,Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.61, about +41% upside versus the last price from Aug 4, 2026 of $20.29 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $21.41, optimistic scenario $39.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Komeri Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥371B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Komeri Co.,Ltd pay a dividend?
Komeri Co.,Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Komeri Co.,Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +17.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KMRIF use?
Our models discount Komeri Co.,Ltd at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Komeri Co.,Ltd that is +17.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Komeri Co.,Ltd grew +1.7 % a year. The price currently implies +17.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Komeri Co.,Ltd (+17.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.64 %: that much free cash flow Komeri Co.,Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Komeri Co.,Ltd it is $28.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $20.29. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Komeri Co.,Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KMRIF trades below its calculated fair value: price $20.29, fair value $28.61, a gap of about +41% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KMRIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($20.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.61). For Komeri Co.,Ltd the two are $8.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Komeri Co.,Ltd worth?
The market values Komeri Co.,Ltd at about $962M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $20.29; our models calculate a fair value of $28.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KMRIF?
Our models span a range for Komeri Co.,Ltd: cautious scenario $21.41, base $28.61, optimistic $39.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $20.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KMRIF?
Komeri Co.,Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $28.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Komeri Co.,Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KMRIF from its 52-week high?
Komeri Co.,Ltd trades at $20.29, at its 52-week high of $20.29 and 4% above the low of $19.55 (as of Aug 4, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Komeri Co.,Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value The Home Depot, Inc, Lowe's Companies, Inc, Wesfarmers Limited, Floor & Decor Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Komeri Co.,Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $20.29, calculated fair value $28.61 (+41%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KMRIF calculated?
We run Komeri Co.,Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $28.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Komeri Co.,Ltd currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The latest price we hold is from Aug 4, 2026 and stands at $20.29. Our model-based fair value is $28.61, about +41% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Komeri Co.,Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($21.41 to $39.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Komeri Co.,Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The market capitalisation of Komeri Co.,Ltd is $962M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Komeri Co.,Ltd is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Earnings per share at Komeri Co.,Ltd are $2.11 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The dividend yield of Komeri Co.,Ltd is 1.9% (payout 18.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The net margin of Komeri Co.,Ltd is 3.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Komeri Co.,Ltd is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Komeri Co.,Ltd is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
The operating margin of Komeri Co.,Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Revenue at Komeri Co.,Ltd is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF)?
Earnings per share at Komeri Co.,Ltd are growing +92.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Komeri Co.,Ltd (KMRIF) carry?
The net debt of Komeri Co.,Ltd is ¥13.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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