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KH Neochem Co (KNNCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $493M

KN KH Neochem Co logo KH Neochem Co KNNCF · US
Price$14.07
Fair Value$24.07
Upside+71.1%
Quality65/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range $16.47 – $34.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

A solid business, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($16.47). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($16.47 to $34.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$14.07 $12.53 Fair Value $24.07 Jul 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

25‑month range $12.53 – $14.07 · fair‑value band $16.47 – $34.53 · the $14.07 price screens below the $24.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

KH Neochem Co (KNNCF) currently trades at $14.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.07, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, KH Neochem Co generated revenue of $112B at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue declined 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.5%. Net debt stands at $10.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.47 (bear case) to $34.53 (bull case); at $14.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 71%, KNNCF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $14.88 $18.62 $24.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.54 $24.34 $33.83 74
ROIC Compounder $13.65 $15.72 $17.74 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.52 $18.46 $25.03 38
Owner Earnings $15.07 $19.16 $25.99 31
5Y Revenue Exit $16.54 $24.07 $34.80 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $22.24 $33.82 $48.78 41
5Y P/E Exit $17.21 $25.22 $34.54 38
10Y Revenue Exit $15.10 $21.15 $28.11 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.75 $27.04 $36.59 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.92 $21.84 $27.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.92 $17.42 $21.39 54
EPV $13.62 $15.43 $16.94 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.87 $29.17 $36.46 63
P/S Multiple $18.59 $24.79 $30.99 58
P/B Multiple $18.59 $24.79 $30.99 55
EV/EBIT $28.72 $38.19 $47.65 53
EV/EBITDA $32.38 $43.06 $53.75 54
EV/Revenue $19.46 $27.67 $35.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.51 $8.73 $13.03 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $14.88 $18.62 $24.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.54 $24.34 $33.83 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.11 $12.31 $17.42 61
ROIC Compounder $13.65 $15.72 $17.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.48 $22.11 $28.74 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($27.67) versus Asset-Based ($8.73). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $112B
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.2%
Net margin 6.6%
Return on equity 10.5%
Free cash flow $9.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.2%
EPS (TTM) $1.28
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -19.7%
Net debt $10.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KH Neochem Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells of petrochemical products in Japan and internationally. The company provides basic chemicals, including butyl alcohol and acetate, 2-ethyl hexyl alcohol, isononyl alcohol, ethylene glycol monobutyl ether, methyl isobutyl ketone, butyl acetate, and diethylene glycol monobutyl and triethylene glycol …

Full company description

KH Neochem Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells of petrochemical products in Japan and internationally. The company provides basic chemicals, including butyl alcohol and acetate, 2-ethyl hexyl alcohol, isononyl alcohol, ethylene glycol monobutyl ether, methyl isobutyl ketone, butyl acetate, and diethylene glycol monobutyl and triethylene glycol monobutyl ether for use in paints, inks, thinners, cleaners, detergents, plasticizer raw materials, and resin raw materials. It also offers performance materials, such as 2-ethyl hexanoic and isononanoic acid, diacetone acrylamide, and 1,3-butylene glycol for use in lubricants, water-borne paints, and cosmetics. In addition, the company provides electronic materials comprising propylene glycol monomethyl ether acetate"P, and propylene glycol monomethyl ether-P for LCD panels and semiconductors. KH Neochem Co., Ltd. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KH Neochem Co reported revenue of $115B in FY2025 versus $117B in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $7.8B in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$115B
Latest YoY
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY21 $117B
FY22 $115B
FY23 $115B
FY24 $120B
FY25 $115B
Net income −13.1%/yr
FY21 $13.7B
FY22 $8.1B
FY23 $6.8B
FY24 $8.4B
FY25 $7.8B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KH Neochem Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KNNCF

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 42 · sector 19
HEALTH 96 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KH Neochem Co (KNNCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.07 versus a price of $14.07, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KNNCF?
Our model-based fair value for KH Neochem Co is $24.07 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.07.
What is the quality score of KNNCF?
KH Neochem Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KH Neochem Co (KNNCF)?
KH Neochem Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $112B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KNNCF?
The net profit margin of KH Neochem Co is about 6.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KH Neochem Co pay a dividend?
KH Neochem Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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