Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi TRY 803, price TRY 3,783, upside -78.8%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 782.50 TRY – 12,073 TRY · fair‑value band 600.45 TRY – 932.64 TRY · the 3,783 TRY price screens above the 803.15 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi manufactures and sells cement, Portland cement, clinker, and ready mixed concrete in Central Anatolia and the Mediterranean Region. It also offers labor, testing and analysis services, as well as engages in collecting, transforming, and evaluating waste for material and energy industry.
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Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi manufactures and sells cement, Portland cement, clinker, and ready mixed concrete in Central Anatolia and the Mediterranean Region. It also offers labor, testing and analysis services, as well as engages in collecting, transforming, and evaluating waste for material and energy industry. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Konya, Turkey. Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Parficim S.A.S.
Stock analysis
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) currently trades at 3,783 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 803.15 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 371.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 2,276 TRY per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the 3,783 TRY price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 617.75 TRY, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 600.45 TRY (bear) to 932.64 TRY (bull), the price of 3,783 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 6.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 619M TRY in FY2021, a compound +78.6%/yr. Reported net income was 269M TRY in FY2025, compounding +88.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 18.4B TRY (≈ $377M) · P/E ratio 68.3 · P/S ratio 2.92 · EPS (TTM) 55.35 TRY · Net margin 4.3% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.8% · Operating margin 15.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −79%, KONYA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 600.45 TRYFair Value 803.15 TRYBull 932.64 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (40.94 TRY per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+75.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +34.1% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+71.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+71.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.71.3% vs 19.2%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 11%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+73.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Turkey: IMF forecast 19.3% a year to 2030, 28.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +45.4% a year for the price.
Compare Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Materials · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−78.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.9% · Above median
Return on assets8.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)5.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth39.9% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)68.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.10× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)2.61× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF3.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA16.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)32· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 45
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 803.15 TRY versus a price of 3,783 TRY, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KONYA?
Our model-based fair value for Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 803.15 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,783 TRY.
What is the quality score of KONYA?
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 803.15 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 600.45 TRY, optimistic scenario 932.64 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 803.15 TRY, about −79% upside versus a price of 3,783 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 600.45 TRY, optimistic scenario 932.64 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi would have to grow free cash flow by +73.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +75.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KONYA use?
Our models discount Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi at 15.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Turkey. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi that is +73.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi grew +75.3 % a year. The price currently implies +73.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (+73.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.55 %: that much free cash flow Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi it is 803.15 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 3,783 TRY. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KONYA trades above its calculated fair value: price 3,783 TRY, fair value 803.15 TRY, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KONYA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,783 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (803.15 TRY). For Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi the two are 2,979 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi at about 18.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 3,783 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 803.15 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KONYA?
Our models span a range for Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 600.45 TRY, base 803.15 TRY, optimistic 932.64 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 3,783 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KONYA?
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 68.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 803.15 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.1, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 16.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 7.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KONYA from its 52-week high?
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi trades at 3,783 TRY, about 28% below its 52-week high of 5,220 TRY and 6% above the low of 3,573 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 803.15 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value CRH plc, Holcim AG, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc, UltraTech Cement Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 3,783 TRY, calculated fair value 803.15 TRY (−79%), Quality Score 51/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KONYA calculated?
We run Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 803.15 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 3,783 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 803.15 TRY, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (932.64 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi
How large is the market capitalisation of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The market capitalisation of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 18.4B TRY (≈ $377M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 2.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Earnings per share at Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi are 55.35 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 68.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The net margin of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 4.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 8.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
The operating margin of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Revenue at Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is growing +39.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Earnings per share at Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi are growing +84.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) carry?
The net debt of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 370M TRY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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