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Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TR · Market cap 18.1B TRY

KÇ Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi KONYA · IS
Price3,715 TRY
Fair Value939.89 TRY
Upside-74.7%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range 622.41 TRY – 1,175 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,175 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (622.41 TRY to 1,175 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

12,073 TRY 749.40 TRY Fair Value 939.89 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 749.40 TRY – 12,073 TRY · fair‑value band 622.41 TRY – 1,175 TRY · the 3,715 TRY price screens above the 939.89 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) currently trades at 3,715 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 939.89 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 74.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 7.1B TRY at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 39.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at 370M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 622.41 TRY (bear case) to 1,175 TRY (bull case); at 3,715 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -75%, KONYA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 349.84 TRY 675.53 TRY 1,209 TRY 80
Residual Income 721.87 TRY 739.09 TRY 745.38 TRY 76
Rev-Margin DCF 1,202 TRY 2,468 TRY 5,000 TRY 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 370.74 TRY 572.39 TRY 1,215 TRY 38
5Y Revenue Exit 1,120 TRY 2,164 TRY 4,369 TRY 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 1,200 TRY 2,326 TRY 4,542 TRY 41
5Y P/E Exit 647.76 TRY 1,519 TRY 2,722 TRY 38
10Y Revenue Exit 867.62 TRY 2,436 TRY 3,608 TRY 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 982.46 TRY 2,609 TRY 5,587 TRY 37
10Y P/E Exit 579.48 TRY 1,420 TRY 2,838 TRY 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 375.96 TRY 2,622 TRY 3,679 TRY 54
Lynch FV 1,176 TRY 1,680 TRY 2,184 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 1,176 TRY 1,680 TRY 2,184 TRY 46
EPV 1,188 TRY 1,383 TRY 1,554 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0900 TRY 0.2000 TRY 0.3100 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0900 TRY 0.1700 TRY 0.2100 TRY 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 704.92 TRY 939.89 TRY 1,175 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 704.92 TRY 939.89 TRY 1,175 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 704.92 TRY 939.89 TRY 1,175 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 1,452 TRY 1,929 TRY 2,406 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 1,455 TRY 1,934 TRY 2,413 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 1,261 TRY 1,793 TRY 2,325 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 461.01 TRY 617.75 TRY 922.01 TRY 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 349.84 TRY 675.53 TRY 1,209 TRY 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,202 TRY 2,468 TRY 5,000 TRY 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 721.87 TRY 739.09 TRY 745.38 TRY 76
ROIC Compounder 1,505 TRY 2,131 TRY 2,691 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 1,481 TRY 2,116 TRY 2,751 TRY 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (2,164 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (0.1700 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.1B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +39.9%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 7.9%
Free cash flow 102M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 67.1
More key figures
Operating margin 15.7%
EPS (TTM) 55.35 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +84.5%
Net debt 370M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi manufactures and sells cement, Portland cement, clinker, and ready mixed concrete in Central Anatolia and the Mediterranean Region. It also offers labor, testing and analysis services, as well as engages in collecting, transforming, and evaluating waste for material and energy industry.

Full company description

Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi manufactures and sells cement, Portland cement, clinker, and ready mixed concrete in Central Anatolia and the Mediterranean Region. It also offers labor, testing and analysis services, as well as engages in collecting, transforming, and evaluating waste for material and energy industry. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Konya, Turkey. Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Parficim S.A.S.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 6.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 619M TRY in FY2021, a compound +78.6%/yr. Reported net income was 269M TRY in FY2025, compounding +88.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.3B TRY
Latest YoY
−8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+75.3%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.0%
Revenue +78.6%/yr
FY21 619M TRY
FY22 1.9B TRY
FY23 4.4B TRY
FY24 6.9B TRY
FY25 6.3B TRY
Net income +88.7%/yr
FY21 21.3M TRY
FY22 157M TRY
FY23 684M TRY
FY24 −448M TRY
FY25 269M TRY

KONYA screens 75% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi · Fair Value
939.89 TRY −75%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KONYA

Peer Group

Building Materials · 259 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 40% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 67.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.03× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 16.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 1
PAST 32 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 939.89 TRY versus a price of 3,715 TRY, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KONYA?
Our model-based fair value for Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is 939.89 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 3,715 TRY.
What is the quality score of KONYA?
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi (KONYA)?
Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KONYA?
The net profit margin of Konya Çimento Sanayii Anonim Sirketi is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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