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PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, (KOPI) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · ID · Market cap 129B IDR

PM PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, KOPI · JK
Price208.00 IDR
Fair Value66.25 IDR
Upside-68.2%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range 48.98 IDR – 98.88 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from 165.19 IDR to 66.25 IDR (−59.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (98.88 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (48.98 IDR to 98.88 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

1,120 IDR 132.00 IDR Fair Value 66.25 IDR Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 132.00 IDR – 1,120 IDR · fair‑value band 48.98 IDR – 98.88 IDR · the 208.00 IDR price screens above the 66.25 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, (KOPI) currently trades at 208.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 66.25 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 68.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, generated revenue of 253B IDR at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.6%. Net debt stands at 100B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 48.98 IDR (bear case) to 98.88 IDR (bull case); at 208.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -68%, KOPI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 312.00 IDR 500.64 IDR 770.57 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 229.28 IDR 398.87 IDR 594.13 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 183.94 IDR 255.73 IDR 342.91 IDR 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 305.21 IDR 517.97 IDR 841.94 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 365.43 IDR 611.49 IDR 986.18 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 229.28 IDR 396.59 IDR 607.38 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 245.36 IDR 426.62 IDR 635.22 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 78.06 IDR 114.18 IDR 148.40 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 244.65 IDR 403.76 IDR 612.86 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 263.45 IDR 424.60 IDR 634.07 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 156.87 IDR 207.85 IDR 263.04 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 26.12 IDR 80.61 IDR 107.11 IDR 54
Lynch FV 17.43 IDR 24.89 IDR 32.36 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 17.43 IDR 24.89 IDR 32.36 IDR 46
EPV 169.59 IDR 211.10 IDR 247.42 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 40.34 IDR 53.78 IDR 67.23 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 48.98 IDR 65.31 IDR 81.63 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 48.98 IDR 65.31 IDR 81.63 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 152.36 IDR 229.64 IDR 306.93 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 249.68 IDR 359.40 IDR 469.12 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 201.82 IDR 322.38 IDR 442.94 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 49.44 IDR 66.25 IDR 98.88 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 312.00 IDR 500.64 IDR 770.57 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 229.28 IDR 398.87 IDR 594.13 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 73.44 IDR 72.55 IDR 64.85 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 183.94 IDR 255.73 IDR 342.91 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 35.00 IDR 50.00 IDR 64.99 IDR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (403.76 IDR) versus Earnings-Based (24.89 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 253B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 1.6%
Free cash flow 23.7B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 77.6
More key figures
Operating margin 5.3%
EPS (TTM) 2.38 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -73.9%
Net debt 100B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy infrastructure investment, and oil and gas trading businesses in Indonesia. It procures and distributes natural and artificial gas through a downstream pipeline in South Sumatra region.

Full company description

PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the energy infrastructure investment, and oil and gas trading businesses in Indonesia. It procures and distributes natural and artificial gas through a downstream pipeline in South Sumatra region. The company also trades in machine, equipment, and other related supplies, as well as solid, liquid, and gaseous fuels, and other related products. In addition, it is involved in the installation of electric power supply and electrical operations. The company was formerly known as PT Korpora Persada Investama, Tbk and changed its name to PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk in January 2008. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Mulya Tara Mandiri.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, reported revenue of 253B IDR in FY2025 versus 188B IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +10.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
253B IDR
Latest YoY
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 188B IDR
FY22 184B IDR
FY23 181B IDR
FY24 252B IDR
FY25 253B IDR
Net income +10.2%/yr
FY21 1.8B IDR
FY22 6.9B IDR
FY23 2.4B IDR
FY24 −32.4B IDR
FY25 2.7B IDR

KOPI screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOPI

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 114 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 77.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.87× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 2 · sector 15
PAST 6 · sector 32
HEALTH 52 · sector 80
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,293 ₹835.66 -35%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $309.65 $127.32 -59%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $283.74 $135.80 -52%
Phillips 66 PSX $196.16 $101.04 -48%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.10 €4.07 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 81.30 TWD 16.68 TWD -79%
Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹138.96 ₹417.35 +200%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $88.59 $48.90 -45%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹315.55 ₹846.81 +168%
SK Innovation Co 096770 121,400 KRW 58,865 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, (KOPI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 66.25 IDR versus a price of 208.00 IDR, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOPI?
Our model-based fair value for PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, is 66.25 IDR (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 208.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of KOPI?
PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, (KOPI)?
PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 253B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KOPI?
The net profit margin of PT Mitra Energi Persada Tbk, is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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