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Kosy JSC (KOS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kosy JSC VND 1,488, price VND 14,700, upside -89.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · VN · ISIN VN000000KOS6

KJ Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Kosy JSC

KOS · VN

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

Low debt
Quality 45/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.5 %/yr in VND)
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin (TTM)
Fair value 1,488 VND · Strongly overvalued (−89.9%)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 26/100
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

42,150 VND 14,700 VND Fair Value 1,488 VND Apr 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range 14,700 VND – 42,150 VND · fair‑value band 1,116 VND – 1,860 VND · the 14,700 VND price screens above the 1,488 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

KOSY Joint Stock Company engages in the real estate and construction businesses in Vietnam. The company operates through Real Estate, Trading services, and Hydroelectric segments. It engages in real estate trading; wholesale of construction materials and other installation equipment; and hydropower business.

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KOSY Joint Stock Company engages in the real estate and construction businesses in Vietnam. The company operates through Real Estate, Trading services, and Hydroelectric segments. It engages in real estate trading; wholesale of construction materials and other installation equipment; and hydropower business. The company was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.

Stock analysis

Kosy JSC (KOS) currently trades at 14,700 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,488 VND, 89.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 7,212 VND per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 14,700 VND price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 3,406 VND, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1,116 VND (bear) to 1,860 VND (bull), the price of 14,700 VND sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Kosy JSC reported revenue of 1.6T VND in FY2025 versus 1.1T VND in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 18.9B VND in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 3.2T VND · P/E ratio 119.0 · P/S ratio 1.45 · EPS (TTM) 123.48 VND · Net margin 1.2% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 12.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −90%, KOS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1,116 VND Fair Value 1,488 VND Bull 1,860 VND
Price 14,700 VND · Upside -89.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (94.05 VND per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 6,560 VND 5,809 VND 5,389 VND 71
EV/EBITDA 7,341 VND 11,352 VND 15,362 VND 66
EV/EBIT 5,586 VND 9,011 VND 12,436 VND 64
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple 1,116 VND 1,488 VND 1,860 VND 58
P/B Multiple 1,116 VND 1,488 VND 1,860 VND 55
EV/EBIT 5,586 VND 9,011 VND 12,436 VND 64
EV/EBITDA 7,341 VND 11,352 VND 15,362 VND 66
EV/Revenue 977.64 VND 3,406 VND 5,835 VND 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 5,382 VND 7,212 VND 10,764 VND 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 6,560 VND 5,809 VND 5,389 VND 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−16.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 9%

KOS screens overvalued: fair value 90% below the price. Compare with Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 583 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Return on assets 1.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 12.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.44× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 119.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.97× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 19.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)34 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)78 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 69,100 VND 76,010 VND +10%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$9.94 HK$7.28 −27%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kosy JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KOS.VN

Frequently asked questions

Is Kosy JSC (KOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,488 VND versus a price of 14,700 VND, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KOS?
Our model-based fair value for Kosy JSC is 1,488 VND (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14,700 VND.
What is the quality score of KOS?
Kosy JSC has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,488 VND (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,116 VND, optimistic scenario 1,860 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kosy JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,488 VND, about −90% upside versus a price of 14,700 VND (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1,116 VND, optimistic scenario 1,860 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Kosy JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6T VND (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kosy JSC it is 1,488 VND per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 14,700 VND. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kosy JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, KOS trades above its calculated fair value: price 14,700 VND, fair value 1,488 VND, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KOS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14,700 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,488 VND). For Kosy JSC the two are 13,212 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kosy JSC worth?
The market values Kosy JSC at about 3.2T VND (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 14,700 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 1,488 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KOS?
Our models span a range for Kosy JSC: cautious scenario 1,116 VND, base 1,488 VND, optimistic 1,860 VND per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 14,700 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KOS?
Kosy JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 119.0 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,488 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 2.0, EV/EBITDA 19.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kosy JSC (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 1.2%, debt of 0.44 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KOS from its 52-week high?
Kosy JSC trades at 14,700 VND, about 63% below its 52-week high of 39,350 VND and at the low of 14,700 VND (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,488 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kosy JSC?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kosy JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 14,700 VND, calculated fair value 1,488 VND (−90%), Quality Score 45/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KOS calculated?
We run Kosy JSC through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,488 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Kosy JSC itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 14,700 VND. Our model-based fair value is 1,488 VND, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kosy JSC right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1,860 VND). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Kosy JSC

How large is the market capitalisation of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
The market capitalisation of Kosy JSC is 3.2T VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kosy JSC is 1.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Earnings per share at Kosy JSC are 123.48 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 119.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
The net margin of Kosy JSC is 1.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kosy JSC is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kosy JSC is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kosy JSC (KOS)?
The operating margin of Kosy JSC is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Revenue at Kosy JSC is growing +6.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kosy JSC (KOS)?
Earnings per share at Kosy JSC are growing +223% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kosy JSC (KOS) generate?
The free cash flow of Kosy JSC is −34.8B VND (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Kosy JSC (KOS) carry?
The net debt of Kosy JSC is 2.1T VND (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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