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King River Resources Ltd (KRR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what King River Resources Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000033102

KR Thin data Sep 13, 2026

King River Resources Ltd

KRR · AU

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value A$0.0806 · Fairly valued (−3%)
!Quality 52/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +321.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 57.4% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/11)
✓Wide moat 87/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 29 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0950 A$0.0060 Fair Value A$0.0806 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.0950 · fair‑value band A$0.0554 – A$0.1058 · the A$0.0830 price screens above the A$0.0806 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

King River Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and copper deposits.

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King River Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interest in tenements covering approximately 200 square kilometers in the East Kimberley region in Western Australia; and 100% interest in tenements covering approximately 7,437 square kilometers in the Tennant Creek region of the Northern Territory. The company was formerly known as King River Copper Limited. King River Resources Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

King River Resources Ltd (KRR) currently trades at A$0.0830, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0806, implying the stock looks roughly 3.0% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0554 (bear) to A$0.1058 (bull), the price of A$0.0830 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

King River Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$175K in FY2025 versus A$6.1K in FY2021, a compound +131.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$6.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$127M (≈ $89.3M) · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 6.28 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 57.4% · Return on equity 33.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2% · Operating margin 96.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 655% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −3%, KRR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0554 Fair Value A$0.0806 Bull A$0.1058
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0100 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 53

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+89.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+321.9%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−54,705.2% (2020) → −377.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 457 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 25% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 96% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 256% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 4.21× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.79× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)29 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
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Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%

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A$0.0806 −3%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "King River Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRR

Frequently asked questions

Is King River Resources Ltd (KRR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0806 versus a price of A$0.0830, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KRR?
Our model-based fair value for King River Resources Ltd is A$0.0806 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0830.
What is the quality score of KRR?
King River Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0806 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0554, optimistic scenario A$0.1058. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the King River Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0806, about −3% upside versus a price of A$0.0830 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0554, optimistic scenario A$0.1058. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For King River Resources Ltd it is A$0.0806 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0830. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is King River Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, KRR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0830, fair value A$0.0806, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0830); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0806). For King River Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0024 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is King River Resources Ltd worth?
The market values King River Resources Ltd at about A$127M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0830; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0806 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRR?
Our models span a range for King River Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0554, base A$0.0806, optimistic A$0.1058 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0830). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRR?
King River Resources Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0806 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.2, P/S 4.8, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
Balance-sheet figures for King River Resources Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 33.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRR from its 52-week high?
King River Resources Ltd trades at A$0.0830, about 13% below its 52-week high of A$0.0950 and 655% above the low of A$0.0110 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0806 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to King River Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is King River Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0830, calculated fair value A$0.0806 (−3%), Quality Score 52/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRR calculated?
We run King River Resources Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0806, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. King River Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0830. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0806, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with King River Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0554 to A$0.1058) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of King River Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
The market capitalisation of King River Resources Ltd is A$127M (≈ $89.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of King River Resources Ltd is 6.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
Earnings per share at King River Resources Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
The net margin of King River Resources Ltd is 57.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of King River Resources Ltd is 33.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of King River Resources Ltd is −4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
The operating margin of King River Resources Ltd is 96.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
Revenue at King River Resources Ltd is growing +256% versus a year earlier (3y avg +322%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at King River Resources Ltd (KRR)?
Earnings per share at King River Resources Ltd are growing +1.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does King River Resources Ltd (KRR) generate?
The free cash flow of King River Resources Ltd is −A$3.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does King River Resources Ltd (KRR) hold?
King River Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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