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King River Resources Limited (KRR) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$83.1M

KR King River Resources Limited KRR · AU
PriceA$0.0680
Fair ValueA$0.0743
Upside+9.3%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 57.4% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0523 – A$0.0908 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from A$0.0950 to A$0.0743 (−21.8%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +17.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.0680 A$0.0060 Fair Value A$0.0743 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0060 – A$0.0680 · fair‑value band A$0.0523 – A$0.0908 · the A$0.0680 price screens below the A$0.0743 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

King River Resources Limited (KRR) currently trades at A$0.0680, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0743, implying the stock looks roughly 9.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, King River Resources Limited generated revenue of A$18.6M at a net margin of 57.4%. It earns a return on equity of 33.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$4.2M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0523 (bear case) to A$0.0908 (bull case); at A$0.0680, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 9%, KRR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.0400 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0400 A$0.0700 A$0.0800 61
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0400 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0400 A$0.0700 A$0.0800 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$0.0700) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$18.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25,590%
Net margin 57.4%
Return on equity 33.0%
Free cash flow −A$3.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.6
More key figures
Operating margin 96.1%
EPS (TTM) A$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net cash A$4.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

King River Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and copper deposits.

Full company description

King River Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and copper deposits. The company owns 100% interest in tenements covering approximately 200 square kilometers in the East Kimberley region in Western Australia; and 100% interest in tenements covering approximately 7,437 square kilometers in the Tennant Creek region of the Northern Territory. The company was formerly known as King River Copper Limited. King River Resources Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Perth, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

King River Resources Limited reported revenue of A$175K in FY2025 versus A$6.1K in FY2021, a compound +131.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$6.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$175K
Latest YoY
+89.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+321.9%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.2%
Revenue +131.3%/yr
FY21 A$6.1K
FY22 A$2.3K
FY23 A$249
FY24 A$92.0K
FY25 A$175K
Net income
FY21 −A$969K
FY22 −A$3.1M
FY23 A$3.7M
FY24 A$2.1M
FY25 −A$6.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "King River Resources Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRR

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +3% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 25% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 96% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25590% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.15× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 37 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
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Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is King River Resources Limited (KRR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0743 versus a price of A$0.0680, about +9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KRR?
Our model-based fair value for King River Resources Limited is A$0.0743 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0680.
What is the quality score of KRR?
King River Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of King River Resources Limited (KRR)?
King River Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$18.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KRR?
The net profit margin of King River Resources Limited is about 57.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 57.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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