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Kaveri Seed Company (KSCL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹39.8B

KS Kaveri Seed Company KSCL · BSE
Price₹760.05
Fair Value₹478.87
Upside-37.0%
Quality61/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 19.5% net margin
Wide moat 70/100

Risks

!Trades 37% ABOVE our fair value of ₹478.87
!Expensive Growth
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range ₹394.14 – ₹948.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −11.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹394.14 to ₹948.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹1,561 ₹411.75 Fair Value ₹478.87 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹411.75 – ₹1,561 · fair‑value band ₹394.14 – ₹948.66 · the ₹760.05 price screens above the ₹478.87 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Kaveri Seed Company (KSCL) currently trades at ₹760.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹478.87, implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kaveri Seed Company generated revenue of ₹12.8B at a net margin of 19.5%. Revenue declined 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. Net debt stands at ₹21.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹394.14 (bear case) to ₹948.66 (bull case); at ₹760.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -37%, KSCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹381.12 ₹500.27 ₹1,551 76
ROIC Compounder ₹499.71 ₹634.31 ₹798.30 72
Growth-Adj P/E ₹626.01 ₹894.31 ₹1,163 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹467.25 ₹722.78 ₹1,113 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹394.14 ₹1,225 ₹1,629 54
Lynch FV ₹266.16 ₹380.23 ₹494.30 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹266.16 ₹380.23 ₹494.30 46
EPV ₹472.99 ₹550.46 ₹618.26 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹739.01 ₹985.35 ₹1,232 63
P/S Multiple ₹307.42 ₹409.90 ₹512.37 58
P/B Multiple ₹739.01 ₹985.35 ₹1,232 55
EV/EBIT ₹577.58 ₹767.40 ₹957.21 53
EV/EBITDA ₹503.06 ₹668.03 ₹833.00 54
EV/Revenue ₹295.06 ₹418.03 ₹541.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹172.10 ₹230.61 ₹344.19 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹381.12 ₹500.27 ₹1,551 76
ROIC Compounder ₹499.71 ₹634.31 ₹798.30 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹626.01 ₹894.31 ₹1,163 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹894.31) versus Asset-Based (₹230.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹12.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.5%
Net margin 19.5%
Return on equity 18.2%
Free cash flow −₹1.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 13.3
More key figures
Operating margin 37.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹56.90
EPS growth (YoY) -14.0%
Net debt ₹21.0M FY2019

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kaveri Seed Company Limited researches, develops, produces, processes, and markets hybrid seeds and vegetable crop seeds in India.

Full company description

Kaveri Seed Company Limited researches, develops, produces, processes, and markets hybrid seeds and vegetable crop seeds in India. Its product portfolio consists of seeds for various field crops, such as maize, cotton, sunflower, mustard, sorghum, paddy, pulses, bajra, and wheat; and vegetables comprising tomatoes, okra, chilies, watermelon, gourds, and brinjal. The company also develops micronutrients. It sells its products through distributors and retailers network. It also exports its products to Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Vietnam, and internationally. The company was founded in 1976 and is based in Secunderabad, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kaveri Seed Company reported revenue of ₹13.9B in FY2026 versus ₹9.7B in FY2022, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.0B in FY2026, compounding +8.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 49/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹13.9B
Latest YoY
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY22 ₹9.7B
FY23 ₹10.7B
FY24 ₹11.5B
FY25 ₹12.0B
FY26 ₹13.9B
Net income +8.6%/yr
FY22 ₹2.1B
FY23 ₹2.7B
FY24 ₹3.0B
FY25 ₹2.8B
FY26 ₹3.0B

KSCL screens 37% overvalued. Compare with Corteva, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kaveri Seed Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSCL.BSE

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 177 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −37% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $78.57 $27.81 -65%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$93.60 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥27.65 ¥21.26 -23%
CF Industries Holdings CF $120.01 $161.00 +34%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 437.20 kr 630.39 +44%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥29.82 ¥42.12 +41%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥45.86 ¥38.01 -17%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,039 ₹817.06 -60%
UPL Limited UPL ₹568.00 ₹387.06 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kaveri Seed Company (KSCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹478.87 versus a price of ₹760.05, about −37% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSCL?
Our model-based fair value for Kaveri Seed Company is ₹478.87 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹760.05.
What is the quality score of KSCL?
Kaveri Seed Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kaveri Seed Company (KSCL)?
Kaveri Seed Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹12.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KSCL?
The net profit margin of Kaveri Seed Company is about 19.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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