Kose Corp (KSRYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kose Corp stock $5.20, price $7.43, that is 30.0% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.00 – $32.20 · fair‑value band $4.38 – $6.55 · the $7.43 price screens above the $5.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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KOSE Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Cosmetics Business and Cosmetology Business.
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It offers cosmetics under the Sekkisei, Esprique, and One By Kosé brands through cosmetics stores, mass merchandisers, and drugstores; and cosmetics and toiletries, such as shampoos and conditioners through mass retailers, drugstores, department stores, convenience stores, and other retail outlets, as well as skin diagnosis services.
The company was formerly known as KOSÉ Corporation and changed its name to KOSE Holdings Corporation in January 2026. KOSE Holdings Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Kose Corp (KSRYY) currently trades at $7.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.20, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $8.32 per share, and 4 of the 16 models we run sit above the $7.43 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.67, and 12 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.38 (bear) to $6.55 (bull), the price of $7.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kose Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥346B in FY2025 versus ¥300B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥15.8B in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.1B Mid · P/E ratio 24.0 · P/S ratio 1.10 · EPS (TTM) $0.3100 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 4.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −30%, KSRYY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$4.38Fair Value $5.20Bull$6.55
Price $7.43 · Downside -30.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2658 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.3% vs −1.6%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−30.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)4.7% · Below median
Return on assets4.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)4.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)6.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)24.0× · Pricier than median
P/B1.18× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.00× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.97× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)32· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)48· sector 53
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.20 versus the last price from Oct 21, 2026 of $7.43, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSRYY?
Our model-based fair value for Kose Corp is $5.20 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 21, 2026): $7.43.
What is the quality score of KSRYY?
Kose Corp has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.20 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.38, optimistic scenario $6.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kose Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.20, about 30% lower versus the last price from Oct 21, 2026 of $7.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.38, optimistic scenario $6.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Kose Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥335B (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
Does Kose Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Kose Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Kose Corp (KSRYY) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Kose Corp has a dividend yield of 2.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 30, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2017. The payout ratio is 50.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kose Corp it is $5.20 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $7.43. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Kose Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, KSRYY trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.43, fair value $5.20, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KSRYY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.20). For Kose Corp the two are $2.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kose Corp ADR worth?
The market values Kose Corp at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $7.43; our models calculate a fair value of $5.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KSRYY?
Our models span a range for Kose Corp: cautious scenario $4.38, base $5.20, optimistic $6.55 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $7.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KSRYY?
Kose Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
What is the PEG ratio of KSRYY?
The PEG ratio of Kose Corp is 1.97 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kose Corp (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KSRYY from its 52-week high?
Kose Corp trades at $7.43, about 4% below its 52-week high of $7.76 and 24% above the low of $6.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kose Corp ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, Henkel AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kose Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $7.43, calculated fair value $5.20 (−30%), Quality Score 61/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KSRYY calculated?
We run Kose Corp through 16 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $5.20 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Kose Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 21, 2026 and stands at $7.43. Our model-based fair value is $5.20, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kose Corp ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.55). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kose Corp (KSRYY) come from?
Earnings per share at Kose Corp grew −4.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.4 %, EBIT margin −9.5 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kose Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The market capitalisation of Kose Corp is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kose Corp is 1.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Earnings per share at Kose Corp are $0.3100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The dividend yield of Kose Corp is 2.4% (payout 57.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The net margin of Kose Corp is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kose Corp is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kose Corp is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The operating margin of Kose Corp is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Revenue at Kose Corp is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Earnings per share at Kose Corp are growing +193% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kose Corp (KSRYY) generate?
The free cash flow of Kose Corp is −¥6.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kose Corp (KSRYY) hold?
Kose Corp holds more cash than debt, ¥81.9B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Nov 7, 2026