Kose Corp (KSRYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Kose Corp $4.91, price $7.26, upside -32.4%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.00 – $32.20 · fair‑value band $4.37 – $5.06 · the $7.26 price screens above the $4.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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KOSE Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Cosmetics Business and Cosmetology Business.
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KOSE Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Cosmetics Business and Cosmetology Business. It offers cosmetics under the Sekkisei, Esprique, and One By Kosé brands through cosmetics stores, mass merchandisers, and drugstores; and cosmetics and toiletries, such as shampoos and conditioners through mass retailers, drugstores, department stores, convenience stores, and other retail outlets, as well as skin diagnosis services. The company was formerly known as KOSÉ Corporation and changed its name to KOSE Holdings Corporation in January 2026. KOSE Holdings Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Kose Corp ADR (KSRYY) currently trades at $7.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.91, implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $7.00 per share, and 3 of the 15 models we run sit above the $7.26 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.71, and 12 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $4.37 (bear) to $5.06 (bull), the price of $7.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Kose Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥346B in FY2025 versus ¥300B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥15.8B in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.1B · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 1.01 · EPS (TTM) $0.3300 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 3.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −32%, KSRYY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $4.37Fair Value $4.91Bull $5.06
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2% vs −2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 250 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Above median
Fair Value upside−32% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.9% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)22.0× · Pricier than median
P/B1.16× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.00× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA9.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.67× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 9
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)58· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.91 versus a price of $7.26, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSRYY?
Our model-based fair value for Kose Corp ADR is $4.91 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.26.
What is the quality score of KSRYY?
Kose Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.91 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $4.37, optimistic scenario $5.06. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kose Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.91, about −32% upside versus a price of $7.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $4.37, optimistic scenario $5.06. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Kose Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥329B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kose Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Kose Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kose Corp ADR it is $4.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $7.26. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kose Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KSRYY trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.26, fair value $4.91, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KSRYY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.91). For Kose Corp ADR the two are $2.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kose Corp ADR worth?
The market values Kose Corp ADR at about $2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $7.26; our models calculate a fair value of $4.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KSRYY?
Our models span a range for Kose Corp ADR: cautious scenario $4.37, base $4.91, optimistic $5.06 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $7.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KSRYY?
Kose Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 9.2.
What is the PEG ratio of KSRYY?
The PEG ratio of Kose Corp ADR is 1.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kose Corp ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KSRYY from its 52-week high?
Kose Corp ADR trades at $7.26, about 9% below its 52-week high of $7.98 and 21% above the low of $6.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kose Corp ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Procter & Gamble Company, Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kose Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $7.26, calculated fair value $4.91 (−32%), Quality Score 60/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KSRYY calculated?
We run Kose Corp ADR through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Kose Corp ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $7.26. Our model-based fair value is $4.91, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kose Corp ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.06). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kose Corp (KSRYY) come from?
Earnings per share at Kose Corp ADR grew −4.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.4 %, EBIT margin −9.5 %, tax rate +0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kose Corp ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The market capitalisation of Kose Corp ADR is $2.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kose Corp ADR is 1.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Earnings per share at Kose Corp ADR are $0.3300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The dividend yield of Kose Corp ADR is 2.9% (payout 63.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The net margin of Kose Corp ADR is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kose Corp ADR is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kose Corp ADR is 5.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
The operating margin of Kose Corp ADR is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Revenue at Kose Corp ADR is growing −0.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kose Corp (KSRYY)?
Earnings per share at Kose Corp ADR are growing −92.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kose Corp (KSRYY) generate?
The free cash flow of Kose Corp ADR is −¥6.2B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kose Corp (KSRYY) hold?
Kose Corp ADR holds more cash than debt, ¥81.9B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026