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KOSE Holdings (KSRYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.8B

KH KOSE Holdings logo KOSE Holdings KSRYY · US
Price$7.34
Fair Value$6.15
Upside-16.2%
Quality60/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
2.88% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range $4.77 – $7.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +17.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from $4.77 (bear) to $7.99 (bull), base $6.15. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$32.20 $6.00 Fair Value $6.15 Aug 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.00 – $32.20 · fair‑value band $4.77 – $7.99 · the $7.34 price screens above the $6.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

KOSE Holdings (KSRYY) currently trades at $7.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.15, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, KOSE Holdings generated revenue of $329B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $81.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.77 (bear case) to $7.99 (bull case); at $7.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -16%, KSRYY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $4.97 $5.31 $5.60 72
Growth-Adj P/E $5.20 $7.43 $9.66 68
P/E Multiple $6.59 $8.79 $10.98 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $5.11 $6.15 $7.49 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.85 $7.68 $10.06 54
Lynch FV $1.51 $2.15 $2.80 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.51 $2.15 $2.80 46
EPV $4.97 $5.31 $5.60 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.59 $8.79 $10.98 63
P/S Multiple $5.34 $7.11 $8.89 58
P/B Multiple $5.34 $7.11 $8.89 55
EV/EBIT $8.98 $11.16 $13.34 53
EV/EBITDA $10.82 $13.62 $16.41 54
EV/Revenue $7.11 $9.11 $11.11 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.75 $5.03 $7.51 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.50 $5.49 $5.03 61
ROIC Compounder $4.97 $5.31 $5.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.20 $7.43 $9.66 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.79) versus Earnings-Based ($2.15). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $329B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.9%
Net margin 3.1%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow −$6.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 19.2
More key figures
Operating margin 1.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.3300
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -92.0%
Net cash $81.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KOSE Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Cosmetics Business and Cosmetology Business.

Full company description

KOSE Holdings Corporation manufactures and sells cosmetics in Japan and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Cosmetics Business and Cosmetology Business. It offers cosmetics under the Sekkisei, Esprique, and One By Kosé brands through cosmetics stores, mass merchandisers, and drugstores; and cosmetics and toiletries, such as shampoos and conditioners through mass retailers, drugstores, department stores, convenience stores, and other retail outlets, as well as skin diagnosis services. The company was formerly known as KOSÉ Corporation and changed its name to KOSE Holdings Corporation in January 2026. KOSE Holdings Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KOSE Holdings reported revenue of $346B in FY2025 versus $300B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $15.8B in FY2025, compounding −2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$346B
Latest YoY
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+3.4%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 $300B
FY22 $289B
FY23 $300B
FY24 $323B
FY25 $346B
Net income −2.8%/yr
FY21 $17.8B
FY22 $18.8B
FY23 $11.7B
FY24 $7.5B
FY25 $15.8B

KSRYY screens 16% overvalued. Compare with The Procter & Gamble Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KOSE Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KSRYY

Peer Group

Household & Personal Products · 244 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.67× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 4
PAST 15 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Household & Personal Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Procter & Gamble Company PG $146.80 $108.16 -26%
Unilever PLC ULN 1,080 MXN 1,273 MXN +18%
Hindustan Unilever Limited HINDUNILVR ₹2,144 ₹1,000 -53%
Essity AB ESSITYA kr 279.00 kr 250.02 -10%
Godrej Consumer Products Limited GODREJCP ₹1,088 ₹367.64 -66%
Marico Limited MARICO ₹846.75 ₹233.05 -72%
APR Co 278470 375,000 KRW 151,222 KRW -60%
Dabur India Limited DABUR ₹429.45 ₹181.60 -58%
Kimberly-Clark de México, S. A. B. de C. V., KIMBERA 38.07 MXN 50.09 MXN +32%
PT Unilever Indonesia Tbk UNVR 1,730 IDR 1,934 IDR +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KOSE Holdings (KSRYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.15 versus a price of $7.34, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KSRYY?
Our model-based fair value for KOSE Holdings is $6.15 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.34.
What is the quality score of KSRYY?
KOSE Holdings has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KOSE Holdings (KSRYY)?
KOSE Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $329B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KSRYY?
The net profit margin of KOSE Holdings is about 3.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KOSE Holdings pay a dividend?
KOSE Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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